Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 79%

Total Value

$5.7K

Combined PnL

$57.95

Smart Money Signal

27 of 34 top traders (79%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up27 traders

Total Value$5.7K

Total Shares5,657

Combined PnL+$390.58

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares857

Combined PnL-$332.63

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.7¢	$1.3K	$1.4K	+$17.43	98% 4498-92 (4590)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 72¢	$802.35	$799.59	+$97.24	49% 3629-3730 (7359)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 83.8¢	$719.06	$701.24	-$17.8	47% 1178-1305 (2483)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 66.3¢	$529.45	$577.67	+$48.22	58% 5191-3834 (9025)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.5¢	$508.51	$500	+$1.85	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
RL RLWG	Upavg 71.7¢	$322.43	$444.99	+$122.56	63% 1977-1149 (3126)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 72¢	$405.97	$262.43	+$6.21	51% 2540-2400 (4940)
ST stepahead	Upavg 69.8¢	$179.67	$177.06	-$2.61	55% 4618-3720 (8338)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972	Upavg 70.8¢	$162.75	$209.31	+$46.56	45% 325-395 (720)
MO mo-moneyCTR	Downavg 41¢	$102.5	—	-$102.5	52% 1673-1561 (3234)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 67.2¢	$84.03	$103.96	+$26.02	58% 463-342 (805)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 80¢	$89.15	$111.44	+$22.29	49% 2495-2563 (5058)
AL almachCTR	Downavg 38.7¢	$107.41	—	-$107.41	51% 1661-1571 (3232)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 88.8¢	$53.8	$59.35	+$5.55	53% 1050-921 (1971)
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489<$100	Upavg 63¢	$34.65	$55	+$20.35	65% 97-52 (149)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 90.4¢	$52.45	$51.83	-$0.29	50% 2835-2829 (5664)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 35¢	$47.46	—	-$47.46	60% 4239-2880 (7119)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 94.5¢	$58.17	$40	-$18.17	49% 938-977 (1915)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 77.1¢	$31.31	$40.63	+$9.32	67% 3966-1997 (5963)
BO bosona<$100	Upavg 79¢	$33.71	$27.63	-$6.08	51% 4911-4688 (9599)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 82.3¢	$41.43	$23.51	-$4.72	62% 4631-2815 (7446)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 42.7¢	$24.65	—	-$24.65	52% 3043-2759 (5802)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 69¢	$20.7	$30	+$9.3	52% 5189-4868 (10057)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 81¢	$32.59	$17.58	-$8.8	48% 2440-2688 (5128)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 91.4¢	$13.82	$15.12	+$1.3	42% 2086-2846 (4932)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,340.56

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$17.43

Record

98%

4498-92 (4590)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$802.35

Value

$799.59

PnL

+$97.24

Record

49%

3629-3730 (7359)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$719.06

Value

$701.24

PnL

-$17.8

Record

47%

1178-1305 (2483)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$529.45

Value

$577.67

PnL

+$48.22

Record

58%

5191-3834 (9025)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$508.51

Value

$500

PnL

+$1.85

Record

54%

4218-3562 (7780)

RLWG

Invested

$322.43

Value

$444.99

PnL

+$122.56

Record

63%

1977-1149 (3126)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$405.97

Value

$262.43

PnL

+$6.21

Record

51%

2540-2400 (4940)

stepahead

Invested

$179.67

Value

$177.06

PnL

-$2.61

Record

55%

4618-3720 (8338)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Invested

$162.75

Value

$209.31

PnL

+$46.56

Record

45%

325-395 (720)

mo-moneyCTR

Down

Invested

$102.5

Value

—

PnL

-$102.5

Record

52%

1673-1561 (3234)

Alpharo28

Invested

$84.03

Value

$103.96

PnL

+$26.02

Record

58%

463-342 (805)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$89.15

Value

$111.44

PnL

+$22.29

Record

49%

2495-2563 (5058)

almachCTR

Down

Invested

$107.41

Value

—

PnL

-$107.41

Record

51%

1661-1571 (3232)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$53.8

Value

$59.35

PnL

+$5.55

Record

53%

1050-921 (1971)

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489<$100

Invested

$34.65

Value

$55

PnL

+$20.35

Record

65%

97-52 (149)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$52.45

Value

$51.83

PnL

-$0.29

Record

50%

2835-2829 (5664)

aaa221CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$47.46

Value

—

PnL

-$47.46

Record

60%

4239-2880 (7119)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$58.17

Value

$40

PnL

-$18.17

Record

49%

938-977 (1915)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$31.31

Value

$40.63

PnL

+$9.32

Record

67%

3966-1997 (5963)

bosona<$100

Invested

$33.71

Value

$27.63

PnL

-$6.08

Record

51%

4911-4688 (9599)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$41.43

Value

$23.51

PnL

-$4.72

Record

62%

4631-2815 (7446)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$24.65

Value

—

PnL

-$24.65

Record

52%

3043-2759 (5802)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$20.7

Value

$30

PnL

+$9.3

Record

52%

5189-4868 (10057)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$32.59

Value

$17.58

PnL

-$8.8

Record

48%

2440-2688 (5128)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$13.82

Value

$15.12

PnL

+$1.3

Record

42%

2086-2846 (4932)

Smart Money Signal

27 of 34 top traders (79%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5abe4945...2aa179

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794762900

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.4K

+$17.43

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $799.59

+$97.24

CrouchPredictions

Up — $701.24

-$17.8

Hcrystallash

Up — $577.67

+$48.22

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$1.85

RLWG

Up — $444.99

+$122.56

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $262.43

+$6.21

stepahead

Up — $177.06

-$2.61

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Up — $209.31

mo-money

Down — $0