Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
36
Down 58%
$5.3K
$1.5K
Smart Money Signal
21 of 36 top traders (58%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 45¢ | $563.01 | $1.2K | +$680.16 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $808.83 | $817 | +$8.17 | 98% 4434-91 (4525) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 59.5¢ | $612.72 | $793.3 | +$199.78 | 58% 5174-3818 (8992) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 37.1¢ | $229.14 | $573.64 | +$382.44 | 42% 2048-2798 (4846) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.2¢ | $508.4 | — | -$497.38 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 53¢ | $380.69 | $421.85 | +$69.57 | 51% 2506-2369 (4875) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 41.4¢ | $188.71 | $418.38 | +$229.95 | 47% 1165-1288 (2453) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Upavg 35.6¢ | $249.63 | — | -$249.63 | 55% 4601-3705 (8306) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 87.9¢ | $192.63 | $219.21 | +$26.58 | 52% 2997-2745 (5742) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 47.9¢ | $100.43 | $209.82 | +$109.39 | 51% 1119-1061 (2180) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 67.8¢ | $165.84 | $184.42 | +$23.23 | 50% 4548-4636 (9184) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.1¢ | $80.51 | — | -$80.51 | 49% 932-964 (1896) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 98.2¢ | $135 | $100.77 | -$33.4 | 45% 321-391 (712) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $61.9 | $100 | +$38.1 | 58% 449-327 (776) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $36.75 | $72.88 | +$36.13 | 49% 209-220 (429) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $61.7 | — | -$61.7 | 52% 5172-4852 (10024) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.3¢ | $58.08 | — | -$58.08 | 48% 2484-2691 (5175) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $73.54 | $34.51 | -$13.01 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 74.1¢ | $25.74 | $34.73 | +$8.99 | 66% 3908-1973 (5881) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $15.83 | $22.62 | +$6.79 | 70% 1807-771 (2578) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $16.72 | $22.13 | +$5.41 | 50% 2795-2794 (5589) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.4¢ | $35.61 | — | -$35.61 | 44% 2374-3081 (5455) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $9.99 | $19.95 | +$9.96 | 36% 1471-2611 (4082) |
BO bosonaCTR | Upavg 1¢ | $246.76 | — | +$284.24 | 51% 4890-4670 (9560) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 56.7¢ | $8.5 | $15 | +$6.5 | 63% 1971-1144 (3115) |
Invested
$563.01
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$680.16
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
Invested
$808.83
Value
$817
PnL
+$8.17
Record
98%
4434-91 (4525)
Invested
$612.72
Value
$793.3
PnL
+$199.78
Record
58%
5174-3818 (8992)
Invested
$229.14
Value
$573.64
PnL
+$382.44
Record
42%
2048-2798 (4846)
Invested
$508.4
Value
—
PnL
-$497.38
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$380.69
Value
$421.85
PnL
+$69.57
Record
51%
2506-2369 (4875)
Invested
$188.71
Value
$418.38
PnL
+$229.95
Record
47%
1165-1288 (2453)
Invested
$249.63
Value
—
PnL
-$249.63
Record
55%
4601-3705 (8306)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$192.63
Value
$219.21
PnL
+$26.58
Record
52%
2997-2745 (5742)
Invested
$100.43
Value
$209.82
PnL
+$109.39
Record
51%
1119-1061 (2180)
Invested
$165.84
Value
$184.42
PnL
+$23.23
Record
50%
4548-4636 (9184)
Invested
$80.51
Value
—
PnL
-$80.51
Record
49%
932-964 (1896)
Invested
$135
Value
$100.77
PnL
-$33.4
Record
45%
321-391 (712)
Invested
$61.9
Value
$100
PnL
+$38.1
Record
58%
449-327 (776)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$36.75
Value
$72.88
PnL
+$36.13
Record
49%
209-220 (429)
Invested
$61.7
Value
—
PnL
-$61.7
Record
52%
5172-4852 (10024)
Invested
$58.08
Value
—
PnL
-$58.08
Record
48%
2484-2691 (5175)
Invested
$73.54
Value
$34.51
PnL
-$13.01
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
Invested
$25.74
Value
$34.73
PnL
+$8.99
Record
66%
3908-1973 (5881)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$15.83
Value
$22.62
PnL
+$6.79
Record
70%
1807-771 (2578)
Invested
$16.72
Value
$22.13
PnL
+$5.41
Record
50%
2795-2794 (5589)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$35.61
Value
—
PnL
-$35.61
Record
44%
2374-3081 (5455)
Invested
$9.99
Value
$19.95
PnL
+$9.96
Record
36%
1471-2611 (4082)
Invested
$246.76
Value
—
PnL
+$284.24
Record
51%
4890-4670 (9560)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.5
Record
63%
1971-1144 (3115)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $1.2K
hoodquant
Down — $817
Hcrystallash
Down — $793.3
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $573.64
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $421.85
CrouchPredictions
Down — $418.38
stepahead
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $219.21
Little-big
Down — $209.82