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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 99.99999999999999% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
30
Down 99.99999999999999%
Total Value
$4.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
30 of 30 top traders (99.99999999999999%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8031c3df...f060da
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1794736800