Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 73%

Total Value

$7.8K

Combined PnL

-$455.73

Smart Money Signal

22 of 30 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up22 traders

Total Value$7.8K

Total Shares7,848

Combined PnL+$222.27

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,562

Combined PnL-$678

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 94.5¢	$1.7K	$1.8K	+$100.38	42% 1920-2608 (4528)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 83.2¢	$1.5K	$1.7K	+$193.62	50% 3476-3482 (6958)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 95.5¢	$911.93	$854.81	-$36	51% 2389-2256 (4645)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 88.5¢	$912.06	$774.25	-$126.9	48% 1113-1229 (2342)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50¢	$513.63	—	-$498.64	54% 3939-3307 (7246)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 94.2¢	$435.62	$440.18	+$4.55	52% 955-872 (1827)
BO bosona	Upavg 96.1¢	$627.88	$334.23	-$39.78	51% 4812-4602 (9414)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 67.1¢	$295.86	$334.51	+$38.65	58% 5120-3777 (8897)
MO mo-money	Upavg 99.2¢	$294.36	$276.41	-$15.54	51% 1567-1482 (3049)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 92.3¢	$247.57	$268.13	+$20.56	52% 2890-2619 (5509)
ST stepahead	Upavg 83.7¢	$224.79	$216.48	-$8.31	55% 4532-3662 (8194)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 79.7¢	$223.85	$220	-$3.85	49% 903-932 (1835)
AA aaa221	Upavg 64.7¢	$145.51	$224.98	+$79.48	60% 4018-2726 (6744)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972	Upavg 96.8¢	$123.75	$127.84	+$4.09	44% 306-388 (694)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 42¢	$25.2	$60	+$34.8	48% 2398-2644 (5042)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 86.7¢	$57.42	$57.76	+$0.34	67% 3730-1865 (5595)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 94.9¢	$41.34	$41.19	-$0.15	65% 2632-1442 (4074)
AL Alpharo28<$100	Upavg 94.5¢	$55.57	$40.82	-$13.61	56% 381-299 (680)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 89¢	$41.1	$30	-$11.1	52% 5108-4798 (9906)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 97.1¢	$173.66	$24.14	-$5.37	63% 4381-2627 (7008)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 90.4¢	$17.27	$19.1	+$1.83	50% 2671-2654 (5325)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 90.3¢	$13.55	$15	+$1.45	48% 1421-1515 (2936)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 5.5¢	$42.87	—	-$40.21	51% 1570-1480 (3050)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$4.7	—	-$4.7	50% 901-901 (1802)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Downavg 26.2¢	$13.6	—	-$13.6	64% 1946-1107 (3053)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$1,717.62

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$100.38

Record

42%

1920-2608 (4528)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,469.98

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$193.62

Record

50%

3476-3482 (6958)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$911.93

Value

$854.81

PnL

-$36

Record

51%

2389-2256 (4645)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$912.06

Value

$774.25

PnL

-$126.9

Record

48%

1113-1229 (2342)

ByteBadger92CTR

Down

Invested

$513.63

Value

—

PnL

-$498.64

Record

54%

3939-3307 (7246)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$435.62

Value

$440.18

PnL

+$4.55

Record

52%

955-872 (1827)

bosona

Invested

$627.88

Value

$334.23

PnL

-$39.78

Record

51%

4812-4602 (9414)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$295.86

Value

$334.51

PnL

+$38.65

Record

58%

5120-3777 (8897)

mo-money

Invested

$294.36

Value

$276.41

PnL

-$15.54

Record

51%

1567-1482 (3049)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$247.57

Value

$268.13

PnL

+$20.56

Record

52%

2890-2619 (5509)

stepahead

Invested

$224.79

Value

$216.48

PnL

-$8.31

Record

55%

4532-3662 (8194)

peepeepoopoo24

Invested

$223.85

Value

$220

PnL

-$3.85

Record

49%

903-932 (1835)

aaa221

Invested

$145.51

Value

$224.98

PnL

+$79.48

Record

60%

4018-2726 (6744)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Invested

$123.75

Value

$127.84

PnL

+$4.09

Record

44%

306-388 (694)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$25.2

Value

$60

PnL

+$34.8

Record

48%

2398-2644 (5042)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$57.42

Value

$57.76

PnL

+$0.34

Record

67%

3730-1865 (5595)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$41.34

Value

$41.19

PnL

-$0.15

Record

65%

2632-1442 (4074)

Alpharo28<$100

Invested

$55.57

Value

$40.82

PnL

-$13.61

Record

56%

381-299 (680)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$41.1

Value

$30

PnL

-$11.1

Record

52%

5108-4798 (9906)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$173.66

Value

$24.14

PnL

-$5.37

Record

63%

4381-2627 (7008)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$17.27

Value

$19.1

PnL

+$1.83

Record

50%

2671-2654 (5325)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$13.55

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.45

Record

48%

1421-1515 (2936)

almachCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$42.87

Value

—

PnL

-$40.21

Record

51%

1570-1480 (3050)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.7

Value

—

PnL

-$4.7

Record

50%

901-901 (1802)

RLWGCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$13.6

Value

—

PnL

-$13.6

Record

64%

1946-1107 (3053)

Smart Money Signal

22 of 30 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe1085b7d...d60c4e

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794730500

Traders in this Market

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $1.8K

+$100.38

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $1.7K

+$193.62

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $854.81

-$36

CrouchPredictions

Up — $774.25

-$126.9

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$498.64

EZTRADENL2

Up — $440.18

+$4.55

bosona

Up — $334.23

-$39.78

Hcrystallash

Up — $334.51

+$38.65

mo-money

Up — $276.41

-$15.54

MayorMamdani

Up — $268.13

+$20.56

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