Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 70%
$6.9K
-$749.12
Smart Money Signal
19 of 27 top traders (70%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $2.9K | $2.9K | +$2.94 | 52% 1462-1344 (2806) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$15.77 | 98% 4049-84 (4133) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $540.17 | $648.25 | +$108.08 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 84.5¢ | $546.94 | $548.46 | +$2.27 | 48% 1087-1196 (2283) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.6¢ | $505.35 | — | -$500.05 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
BO bosona | Downavg 95.7¢ | $221.76 | $209.41 | -$12.35 | 51% 4768-4559 (9327) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $135.06 | $210.09 | +$75.03 | 51% 1980-1923 (3903) |
HC HcrystallashCTR | Upavg 50.2¢ | $307.29 | — | -$307.29 | 58% 5086-3744 (8830) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 91.1¢ | $475.81 | $152 | -$21.55 | 51% 2323-2193 (4516) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 78.5¢ | $153.54 | $144 | -$9.54 | 55% 4495-3639 (8134) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $107.8 | $120 | +$12.2 | 52% 920-847 (1767) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $30.6 | $60 | +$29.4 | 48% 2317-2509 (4826) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $48 | $51.61 | +$3.61 | 44% 302-386 (688) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $21.15 | $45 | +$23.85 | 49% 1381-1459 (2840) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $59.36 | $40 | -$19.36 | 49% 890-922 (1812) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $37.72 | $41.45 | +$3.73 | 51% 1517-1445 (2962) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $14.08 | $35.2 | +$21.12 | 52% 916-840 (1756) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70.8¢ | $20.58 | $29.07 | +$8.49 | 67% 3623-1806 (5429) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85.6¢ | $13.77 | $14.54 | +$0.77 | 50% 2579-2590 (5169) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $11.88 | $12 | +$0.12 | 43% 1865-2503 (4368) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 76.6¢ | $9.73 | $12.7 | +$2.97 | 65% 2569-1402 (3971) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $41.25 | — | -$41.25 | 48% 196-215 (411) |
AL Alpharo28CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.8¢ | $18.85 | — | -$18.85 | 57% 352-271 (623) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.2¢ | $13.73 | — | -$13.73 | 47% 2226-2478 (4704) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.4¢ | $52.33 | — | -$3.38 | 62% 4256-2556 (6812) |
Invested
$2,939.84
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$2.94
Record
52%
1462-1344 (2806)
Invested
$1,561.23
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$15.77
Record
98%
4049-84 (4133)
Invested
$540.17
Value
$648.25
PnL
+$108.08
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
Invested
$546.94
Value
$548.46
PnL
+$2.27
Record
48%
1087-1196 (2283)
Invested
$505.35
Value
—
PnL
-$500.05
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
Invested
$221.76
Value
$209.41
PnL
-$12.35
Record
51%
4768-4559 (9327)
Invested
$135.06
Value
$210.09
PnL
+$75.03
Record
51%
1980-1923 (3903)
Invested
$307.29
Value
—
PnL
-$307.29
Record
58%
5086-3744 (8830)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$475.81
Value
$152
PnL
-$21.55
Record
51%
2323-2193 (4516)
Invested
$153.54
Value
$144
PnL
-$9.54
Record
55%
4495-3639 (8134)
Invested
$107.8
Value
$120
PnL
+$12.2
Record
52%
920-847 (1767)
Invested
$30.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$29.4
Record
48%
2317-2509 (4826)
Invested
$48
Value
$51.61
PnL
+$3.61
Record
44%
302-386 (688)
Invested
$21.15
Value
$45
PnL
+$23.85
Record
49%
1381-1459 (2840)
Invested
$59.36
Value
$40
PnL
-$19.36
Record
49%
890-922 (1812)
Invested
$37.72
Value
$41.45
PnL
+$3.73
Record
51%
1517-1445 (2962)
Invested
$14.08
Value
$35.2
PnL
+$21.12
Record
52%
916-840 (1756)
Invested
$20.58
Value
$29.07
PnL
+$8.49
Record
67%
3623-1806 (5429)
Invested
$13.77
Value
$14.54
PnL
+$0.77
Record
50%
2579-2590 (5169)
Invested
$11.88
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.12
Record
43%
1865-2503 (4368)
Invested
$9.73
Value
$12.7
PnL
+$2.97
Record
65%
2569-1402 (3971)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$41.25
Value
—
PnL
-$41.25
Record
48%
196-215 (411)
Invested
$18.85
Value
—
PnL
-$18.85
Record
57%
352-271 (623)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$13.73
Value
—
PnL
-$13.73
Record
47%
2226-2478 (4704)
Invested
$52.33
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
62%
4256-2556 (6812)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $2.9K
hoodquant
Down — $1.6K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $648.25
CrouchPredictions
Down — $548.46
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
bosona
Down — $209.41
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $210.09
Hcrystallash
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $152
stepahead
Down — $144