Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 80%
$2.9K
-$162.88
Smart Money Signal
20 of 25 top traders (80%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $575.59 | $581.51 | +$5.92 | 98% 3919-84 (4003) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $510.61 | $499.99 | +$2.5 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 64.2¢ | $255.85 | $398.77 | +$142.93 | 47% 1054-1177 (2231) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 67.3¢ | $436.53 | $337.2 | -$57.23 | 51% 3277-3198 (6475) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $218.56 | $230.21 | +$35.2 | 52% 890-825 (1715) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 68¢ | $144.42 | $140.89 | +$11.59 | 52% 2275-2131 (4406) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 72¢ | $102.91 | $137.91 | +$35 | 55% 4461-3621 (8082) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 70.6¢ | $83.76 | $118.73 | +$34.97 | 58% 5051-3712 (8763) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 86.7¢ | $103.98 | $119.98 | +$16 | 57% 324-249 (573) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $77.31 | $70 | -$7.31 | 49% 885-915 (1800) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $49.5 | $51.56 | +$2.06 | 43% 294-384 (678) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $61.17 | $42.76 | +$2.06 | 51% 1479-1409 (2888) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $34.12 | $40.62 | +$6.5 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $16.63 | $35 | +$18.37 | 47% 2261-2522 (4783) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 74.1¢ | $177.74 | $31.93 | -$44.43 | 51% 1473-1419 (2892) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $27.52 | $27 | +$4.24 | 62% 4151-2496 (6647) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 63.8¢ | $14.7 | $17.79 | +$5 | 67% 3532-1757 (5289) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.1¢ | $20.82 | — | -$20.82 | 51% 4729-4529 (9258) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 80.9¢ | $9.03 | $11.16 | +$2.13 | 50% 2497-2540 (5037) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $9.35 | — | -$9.35 | 49% 1332-1414 (2746) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $3.15 | $5.08 | +$1.93 | 64% 2500-1377 (3877) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $1.9 | $5 | +$3.1 | 48% 2240-2454 (4694) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 19.1¢ | $347.82 | — | -$347.82 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $3.41 | — | -$3.41 | 38% 686-1129 (1815) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 51% 94-91 (185) |
Invested
$575.59
Value
$581.51
PnL
+$5.92
Record
98%
3919-84 (4003)
Invested
$510.61
Value
$499.99
PnL
+$2.5
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
Invested
$255.85
Value
$398.77
PnL
+$142.93
Record
47%
1054-1177 (2231)
Invested
$436.53
Value
$337.2
PnL
-$57.23
Record
51%
3277-3198 (6475)
Invested
$218.56
Value
$230.21
PnL
+$35.2
Record
52%
890-825 (1715)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$144.42
Value
$140.89
PnL
+$11.59
Record
52%
2275-2131 (4406)
Invested
$102.91
Value
$137.91
PnL
+$35
Record
55%
4461-3621 (8082)
Invested
$83.76
Value
$118.73
PnL
+$34.97
Record
58%
5051-3712 (8763)
Invested
$103.98
Value
$119.98
PnL
+$16
Record
57%
324-249 (573)
Invested
$77.31
Value
$70
PnL
-$7.31
Record
49%
885-915 (1800)
Invested
$49.5
Value
$51.56
PnL
+$2.06
Record
43%
294-384 (678)
Invested
$61.17
Value
$42.76
PnL
+$2.06
Record
51%
1479-1409 (2888)
Invested
$34.12
Value
$40.62
PnL
+$6.5
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
Invested
$16.63
Value
$35
PnL
+$18.37
Record
47%
2261-2522 (4783)
Invested
$177.74
Value
$31.93
PnL
-$44.43
Record
51%
1473-1419 (2892)
Invested
$27.52
Value
$27
PnL
+$4.24
Record
62%
4151-2496 (6647)
Invested
$14.7
Value
$17.79
PnL
+$5
Record
67%
3532-1757 (5289)
Invested
$20.82
Value
—
PnL
-$20.82
Record
51%
4729-4529 (9258)
Invested
$9.03
Value
$11.16
PnL
+$2.13
Record
50%
2497-2540 (5037)
Invested
$9.35
Value
—
PnL
-$9.35
Record
49%
1332-1414 (2746)
Invested
$3.15
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$1.93
Record
64%
2500-1377 (3877)
Invested
$1.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.1
Record
48%
2240-2454 (4694)
Invested
$347.82
Value
—
PnL
-$347.82
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
Invested
$3.41
Value
—
PnL
-$3.41
Record
38%
686-1129 (1815)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
51%
94-91 (185)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $581.51
ByteBadger92
Down — $499.99
CrouchPredictions
Down — $398.77
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $337.2
EZTRADENL2
Down — $230.21
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $140.89
stepahead
Down — $137.91
Hcrystallash
Down — $118.73
Alpharo28
Down — $119.98
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $70