Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
37
Down 84%
$8.6K
$552.15
Smart Money Signal
31 of 37 top traders (84%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $1.9K | $1.9K | +$19.9 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $813.86 | $924.25 | +$122.15 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 90¢ | $556.3 | $617.85 | +$61.56 | 42% 1669-2262 (3931) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 96.5¢ | $556.52 | $562.85 | +$15.73 | 50% 1389-1374 (2763) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $474.21 | $539.41 | +$65.2 | 50% 493-498 (991) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 80.9¢ | $415.81 | $514.27 | +$98.47 | 47% 1000-1136 (2136) |
BO bosona | Downavg 98¢ | $630.4 | $500 | -$7.95 | 51% 4643-4484 (9127) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $508.77 | $500 | -$1 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
AL almach | Downavg 97.6¢ | $366.58 | $373.54 | +$6.97 | 51% 1399-1354 (2753) |
 gabigol | Downavg 87.6¢ | $293.39 | $333.56 | +$40.17 | 49% 259-274 (533) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 82¢ | $258.91 | $277.78 | +$18.87 | 55% 4400-3587 (7987) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 73.5¢ | $212.2 | $210 | -$2.2 | 52% 2184-2035 (4219) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 94.2¢ | $258.77 | $200.9 | +$2.52 | 51% 836-790 (1626) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 70.7¢ | $206.13 | $154.13 | -$14.2 | 58% 4990-3651 (8641) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 89.5¢ | $154.21 | $172.34 | +$18.13 | 52% 2655-2432 (5087) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 58¢ | $87 | $150 | +$63 | 51% 965-913 (1878) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 89.3¢ | $138.22 | $140 | +$1.78 | 49% 875-893 (1768) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 84.8¢ | $67.23 | $79.27 | +$12.04 | 56% 267-213 (480) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 79.6¢ | $55.77 | $64.75 | +$8.98 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $50.48 | $60 | +$9.52 | 48% 2113-2329 (4442) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $45.04 | $54.27 | +$9.23 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $45 | $52.33 | +$7.33 | 43% 287-383 (670) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $44.5 | $50 | +$5.5 | 50% 4397-4477 (8874) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.9¢ | $25.72 | $28.23 | +$3.23 | 67% 3366-1674 (5040) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $25.2 | $30 | +$4.8 | 51% 4998-4717 (9715) |
Invested
$1,863.26
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$19.9
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$813.86
Value
$924.25
PnL
+$122.15
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$556.3
Value
$617.85
PnL
+$61.56
Record
42%
1669-2262 (3931)
Invested
$556.52
Value
$562.85
PnL
+$15.73
Record
50%
1389-1374 (2763)
Invested
$474.21
Value
$539.41
PnL
+$65.2
Record
50%
493-498 (991)
Invested
$415.81
Value
$514.27
PnL
+$98.47
Record
47%
1000-1136 (2136)
Invested
$630.4
Value
$500
PnL
-$7.95
Record
51%
4643-4484 (9127)
Invested
$508.77
Value
$500
PnL
-$1
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Invested
$366.58
Value
$373.54
PnL
+$6.97
Record
51%
1399-1354 (2753)
gabigolInvested
$293.39
Value
$333.56
PnL
+$40.17
Record
49%
259-274 (533)
Invested
$258.91
Value
$277.78
PnL
+$18.87
Record
55%
4400-3587 (7987)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$212.2
Value
$210
PnL
-$2.2
Record
52%
2184-2035 (4219)
Invested
$258.77
Value
$200.9
PnL
+$2.52
Record
51%
836-790 (1626)
Invested
$206.13
Value
$154.13
PnL
-$14.2
Record
58%
4990-3651 (8641)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$154.21
Value
$172.34
PnL
+$18.13
Record
52%
2655-2432 (5087)
Invested
$87
Value
$150
PnL
+$63
Record
51%
965-913 (1878)
Invested
$138.22
Value
$140
PnL
+$1.78
Record
49%
875-893 (1768)
Invested
$67.23
Value
$79.27
PnL
+$12.04
Record
56%
267-213 (480)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$55.77
Value
$64.75
PnL
+$8.98
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
Invested
$50.48
Value
$60
PnL
+$9.52
Record
48%
2113-2329 (4442)
ohioism<$100Invested
$45.04
Value
$54.27
PnL
+$9.23
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
Invested
$45
Value
$52.33
PnL
+$7.33
Record
43%
287-383 (670)
Invested
$44.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$5.5
Record
50%
4397-4477 (8874)
Invested
$25.72
Value
$28.23
PnL
+$3.23
Record
67%
3366-1674 (5040)
Invested
$25.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.8
Record
51%
4998-4717 (9715)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.9K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $924.25
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $617.85
mo-money
Down — $562.85
aswfadq1555
Down — $539.41
CrouchPredictions
Down — $514.27
bosona
Down — $500
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
almach
Down — $373.54
gabigol
Down — $333.56