Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
38
Down 76%
$6.2K
$147.23
Smart Money Signal
29 of 38 top traders (76%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$10.77 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 66¢ | $705.13 | $786.5 | +$81.37 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 67.8¢ | $679.84 | $731.51 | +$51.67 | 46% 968-1122 (2090) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 82.2¢ | $475 | $568.77 | +$93.76 | 50% 480-487 (967) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $512.13 | $496.46 | -$2.33 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 99.9¢ | $443.25 | $413.22 | -$30.03 | 50% 1342-1353 (2695) |
BO bosonaCTR | Upavg 53.9¢ | $330.04 | — | -$330.04 | 51% 4599-4456 (9055) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 70.6¢ | $245.09 | $244.28 | -$0.81 | 58% 4958-3625 (8583) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 58.5¢ | $206.48 | $208.1 | +$8.68 | 52% 2153-1992 (4145) |
AA aaa221 | Downavg 62.1¢ | $178.09 | $286.6 | +$108.51 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 70.8¢ | $183.21 | $181.65 | -$1.57 | 55% 4364-3577 (7941) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $157.12 | $157.28 | +$0.16 | 52% 1352-1265 (2617) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 52.3¢ | $127.53 | $139.96 | +$24.31 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 88.4¢ | $123.36 | $130.37 | +$7.02 | 51% 817-778 (1595) |
RL RLWG | Downavg 45.1¢ | $123.54 | $273.99 | +$150.46 | 65% 1910-1048 (2958) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 89¢ | $91 | $102.25 | +$11.25 | 42% 280-380 (660) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $65.31 | $78.33 | +$13.02 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $50.37 | $70.67 | +$22.5 | 56% 242-193 (435) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.8¢ | $54.31 | — | -$54.31 | 51% 947-894 (1841) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $41.41 | $47.32 | +$5.91 | 49% 861-889 (1750) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $17.85 | $35 | +$17.15 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $45.84 | $35 | -$8.37 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.2¢ | $30.95 | — | -$30.95 | 50% 1846-1828 (3674) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $31.8 | $60 | +$28.2 | 47% 1998-2233 (4231) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 43.6¢ | $10.76 | $24.68 | +$13.92 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
Invested
$1,012.03
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10.77
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$705.13
Value
$786.5
PnL
+$81.37
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Invested
$679.84
Value
$731.51
PnL
+$51.67
Record
46%
968-1122 (2090)
Invested
$475
Value
$568.77
PnL
+$93.76
Record
50%
480-487 (967)
Invested
$512.13
Value
$496.46
PnL
-$2.33
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$443.25
Value
$413.22
PnL
-$30.03
Record
50%
1342-1353 (2695)
Invested
$330.04
Value
—
PnL
-$330.04
Record
51%
4599-4456 (9055)
Invested
$245.09
Value
$244.28
PnL
-$0.81
Record
58%
4958-3625 (8583)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$206.48
Value
$208.1
PnL
+$8.68
Record
52%
2153-1992 (4145)
Invested
$178.09
Value
$286.6
PnL
+$108.51
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
Invested
$183.21
Value
$181.65
PnL
-$1.57
Record
55%
4364-3577 (7941)
Invested
$157.12
Value
$157.28
PnL
+$0.16
Record
52%
1352-1265 (2617)
Invested
$127.53
Value
$139.96
PnL
+$24.31
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$123.36
Value
$130.37
PnL
+$7.02
Record
51%
817-778 (1595)
Invested
$123.54
Value
$273.99
PnL
+$150.46
Record
65%
1910-1048 (2958)
Invested
$91
Value
$102.25
PnL
+$11.25
Record
42%
280-380 (660)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$65.31
Value
$78.33
PnL
+$13.02
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
Invested
$50.37
Value
$70.67
PnL
+$22.5
Record
56%
242-193 (435)
Invested
$54.31
Value
—
PnL
-$54.31
Record
51%
947-894 (1841)
Invested
$41.41
Value
$47.32
PnL
+$5.91
Record
49%
861-889 (1750)
Invested
$17.85
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.15
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
Invested
$45.84
Value
$35
PnL
-$8.37
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
Invested
$30.95
Value
—
PnL
-$30.95
Record
50%
1846-1828 (3674)
ohioism<$100Invested
$31.8
Value
$60
PnL
+$28.2
Record
47%
1998-2233 (4231)
Invested
$10.76
Value
$24.68
PnL
+$13.92
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.0K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $786.5
CrouchPredictions
Down — $731.51
aswfadq1555
Down — $568.77
ByteBadger92
Down — $496.46
mo-money
Down — $413.22
bosona
CTRUp — $0
Hcrystallash
Down — $244.28
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $208.1
aaa221
Down — $286.6