Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
42
Down 68%
$8.9K
$1.4K
Smart Money Signal
29 of 42 top traders (69%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 43¢ | $585.65 | $1.2K | +$659.49 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 56.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$80.53 | 50% 469-472 (941) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $930.54 | $939.99 | +$9.45 | 98% 3425-72 (3497) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 63.9¢ | $622.9 | $831.62 | +$208.72 | 58% 4936-3607 (8543) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $671.75 | $672.42 | +$0.67 | 51% 1315-1249 (2564) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 64.1¢ | $486.01 | $521.5 | +$35.49 | 55% 4334-3556 (7890) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $517.65 | $495.5 | -$0.75 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 94.4¢ | $401.41 | $406.5 | +$5.09 | 51% 796-751 (1547) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 76.9¢ | $453.44 | $398.34 | -$55.1 | 52% 2098-1948 (4046) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 50.4¢ | $235.23 | $446.87 | +$211.64 | 46% 944-1097 (2041) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 78.2¢ | $300.35 | $316.37 | +$19.62 | 49% 4271-4363 (8634) |
BO bosonaCTR | Upavg 11.3¢ | $126.96 | — | -$126.96 | 51% 4567-4423 (8990) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 89.3¢ | $242.56 | $271.5 | +$28.94 | 52% 2502-2335 (4837) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 62.2¢ | $214.1 | $240 | +$25.9 | 49% 853-882 (1735) |
AL almachCTR | Upavg 6.2¢ | $229.63 | — | +$177.66 | 50% 1311-1307 (2618) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 46.1¢ | $117.04 | $178.2 | +$64.57 | 57% 220-167 (387) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 97¢ | $99 | $102.06 | +$3.06 | 42% 271-379 (650) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 64.9¢ | $97.35 | $150 | +$52.65 | 71% 1495-608 (2103) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $73.1 | $145 | +$71.9 | 47% 1973-2229 (4202) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $64.29 | $68.36 | +$5.69 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.2¢ | $50.21 | $52.89 | +$2.73 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.9¢ | $48.33 | — | -$48.33 | 52% 4903-4599 (9502) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $72.29 | — | -$72.29 | 47% 2017-2278 (4295) |
 gabigol<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $43.19 | $35.5 | -$7.69 | 49% 249-260 (509) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $33.54 | $25 | -$8.54 | 44% 1940-2509 (4449) |
Invested
$585.65
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$659.49
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
Invested
$1,118.89
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$80.53
Record
50%
469-472 (941)
Invested
$930.54
Value
$939.99
PnL
+$9.45
Record
98%
3425-72 (3497)
Invested
$622.9
Value
$831.62
PnL
+$208.72
Record
58%
4936-3607 (8543)
Invested
$671.75
Value
$672.42
PnL
+$0.67
Record
51%
1315-1249 (2564)
Invested
$486.01
Value
$521.5
PnL
+$35.49
Record
55%
4334-3556 (7890)
Invested
$517.65
Value
$495.5
PnL
-$0.75
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
Invested
$401.41
Value
$406.5
PnL
+$5.09
Record
51%
796-751 (1547)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$453.44
Value
$398.34
PnL
-$55.1
Record
52%
2098-1948 (4046)
Invested
$235.23
Value
$446.87
PnL
+$211.64
Record
46%
944-1097 (2041)
Invested
$300.35
Value
$316.37
PnL
+$19.62
Record
49%
4271-4363 (8634)
Invested
$126.96
Value
—
PnL
-$126.96
Record
51%
4567-4423 (8990)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$242.56
Value
$271.5
PnL
+$28.94
Record
52%
2502-2335 (4837)
Invested
$214.1
Value
$240
PnL
+$25.9
Record
49%
853-882 (1735)
Invested
$229.63
Value
—
PnL
+$177.66
Record
50%
1311-1307 (2618)
Invested
$117.04
Value
$178.2
PnL
+$64.57
Record
57%
220-167 (387)
Invested
$99
Value
$102.06
PnL
+$3.06
Record
42%
271-379 (650)
BoneOhioInvested
$97.35
Value
$150
PnL
+$52.65
Record
71%
1495-608 (2103)
Invested
$73.1
Value
$145
PnL
+$71.9
Record
47%
1973-2229 (4202)
Invested
$64.29
Value
$68.36
PnL
+$5.69
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
Invested
$50.21
Value
$52.89
PnL
+$2.73
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$48.33
Value
—
PnL
-$48.33
Record
52%
4903-4599 (9502)
Invested
$72.29
Value
—
PnL
-$72.29
Record
47%
2017-2278 (4295)
gabigol<$100Invested
$43.19
Value
$35.5
PnL
-$7.69
Record
49%
249-260 (509)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$33.54
Value
$25
PnL
-$8.54
Record
44%
1940-2509 (4449)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $1.2K
aswfadq1555
Down — $1.2K
hoodquant
Down — $939.99
Hcrystallash
Down — $831.62
0x50f7
Down — $672.42
stepahead
Down — $521.5
ByteBadger92
Down — $495.5
EZTRADENL2
Down — $406.5
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $398.34
CrouchPredictions
Down — $446.87