Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Down 69%
$8.4K
$0.68
Smart Money Signal
23 of 33 top traders (70%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 98.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$34.75 | 71% 1474-604 (2078) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 99¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$20 | 50% 1794-1769 (3563) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$10.81 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $535.31 | $500.01 | -$0.5 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 63.4¢ | $364.42 | $482.75 | +$118.33 | 46% 936-1091 (2027) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 73.1¢ | $475.65 | $456.99 | -$18.66 | 58% 4932-3605 (8537) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 62.9¢ | $229.6 | $244.33 | +$14.74 | 55% 4325-3551 (7876) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 86.5¢ | $161.78 | $152.5 | -$9.28 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 90.7¢ | $132.12 | $108 | -$21.24 | 50% 467-468 (935) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.6¢ | $84.83 | — | -$38.58 | 51% 4556-4418 (8974) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $73.35 | $75.16 | +$1.81 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 92.4¢ | $515.53 | $68 | +$45.4 | 49% 1289-1328 (2617) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 64.8¢ | $61.58 | $59.89 | +$6.61 | 57% 213-160 (373) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $60.55 | — | -$60.55 | 47% 2004-2262 (4266) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $21.17 | $37.98 | +$16.81 | 50% 1303-1301 (2604) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $18.7 | $35 | +$16.3 | 48% 1943-2144 (4087) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $66.75 | — | -$63.75 | 44% 1926-2494 (4420) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 60.9¢ | $16 | $16.31 | +$0.31 | 64% 2251-1263 (3514) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $13.65 | $15 | +$1.35 | 65% 1898-1040 (2938) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $11.4 | — | -$11.4 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Downavg 48.9¢ | $9.47 | $19.35 | +$9.88 | 57% 124-93 (217) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $10.09 | — | -$10.09 | 50% 734-736 (1470) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $6.44 | $10 | +$3.56 | 52% 2488-2319 (4807) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $10.14 | $12.21 | +$2.07 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $22.85 | — | -$15.05 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
BoneOhioInvested
$2,990.25
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$34.75
Record
71%
1474-604 (2078)
Invested
$1,980
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$20
Record
50%
1794-1769 (3563)
Invested
$1,070.19
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$10.81
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
Invested
$535.31
Value
$500.01
PnL
-$0.5
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Invested
$364.42
Value
$482.75
PnL
+$118.33
Record
46%
936-1091 (2027)
Invested
$475.65
Value
$456.99
PnL
-$18.66
Record
58%
4932-3605 (8537)
Invested
$229.6
Value
$244.33
PnL
+$14.74
Record
55%
4325-3551 (7876)
Invested
$161.78
Value
$152.5
PnL
-$9.28
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$132.12
Value
$108
PnL
-$21.24
Record
50%
467-468 (935)
Invested
$84.83
Value
—
PnL
-$38.58
Record
51%
4556-4418 (8974)
Invested
$73.35
Value
$75.16
PnL
+$1.81
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$515.53
Value
$68
PnL
+$45.4
Record
49%
1289-1328 (2617)
Invested
$61.58
Value
$59.89
PnL
+$6.61
Record
57%
213-160 (373)
Invested
$60.55
Value
—
PnL
-$60.55
Record
47%
2004-2262 (4266)
Invested
$21.17
Value
$37.98
PnL
+$16.81
Record
50%
1303-1301 (2604)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.7
Value
$35
PnL
+$16.3
Record
48%
1943-2144 (4087)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$66.75
Value
—
PnL
-$63.75
Record
44%
1926-2494 (4420)
Invested
$16
Value
$16.31
PnL
+$0.31
Record
64%
2251-1263 (3514)
Invested
$13.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
65%
1898-1040 (2938)
Invested
$11.4
Value
—
PnL
-$11.4
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
Invested
$9.47
Value
$19.35
PnL
+$9.88
Record
57%
124-93 (217)
Invested
$10.09
Value
—
PnL
-$10.09
Record
50%
734-736 (1470)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.44
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.56
Record
52%
2488-2319 (4807)
Invested
$10.14
Value
$12.21
PnL
+$2.07
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
Invested
$22.85
Value
—
PnL
-$15.05
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $3.0K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $2.0K
hoodquant
Down — $1.1K
ByteBadger92
Down — $500.01
CrouchPredictions
Down — $482.75
Hcrystallash
Down — $456.99
stepahead
Down — $244.33
asdcaxz
Down — $152.5
aswfadq1555
Down — $108
bosona
CTRUp — $0