Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 75%
$5.3K
-$335.99
Smart Money Signal
18 of 24 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$10.52 | 98% 3320-70 (3390) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 51.1¢ | $558.24 | $935.27 | +$377.04 | 51% 2914-2831 (5745) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 91.2¢ | $632.14 | $664.24 | +$32.1 | 47% 921-1056 (1977) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.7¢ | $509.82 | — | -$490.1 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 77.5¢ | $361.32 | $372.03 | +$10.71 | 55% 4299-3527 (7826) |
 gabigol | Downavg 96.9¢ | $297.57 | $306.37 | +$8.8 | 49% 240-254 (494) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 65.5¢ | $385.88 | $261 | +$9.79 | 52% 2019-1897 (3916) |
AL almach | Downavg 97.6¢ | $324.11 | $250 | -$74.11 | 50% 1276-1266 (2542) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 97.3¢ | $323.37 | $250 | -$73.37 | 50% 1265-1289 (2554) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 94¢ | $257.64 | $245 | -$12.64 | 50% 457-452 (909) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $195.8 | $196 | +$0.2 | 51% 1285-1221 (2506) |
BO bosona | Downavg 98.7¢ | $271.18 | $193.78 | -$77.4 | 51% 4524-4391 (8915) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $130.85 | $152.63 | +$21.78 | 58% 193-138 (331) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 67.5¢ | $224.81 | $139.6 | -$34.41 | 58% 4914-3586 (8500) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.9¢ | $75.19 | — | -$75.19 | 41% 1439-2039 (3478) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 93.9¢ | $88.56 | $79.1 | -$9.46 | 49% 845-866 (1711) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $33.3 | $50 | +$16.7 | 50% 4199-4276 (8475) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $41.62 | $40 | -$1.62 | 52% 4832-4520 (9352) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $38.25 | $75 | +$36.75 | 48% 164-175 (339) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $20.92 | $30.77 | +$9.85 | 60% 3418-2292 (5710) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $14.6 | — | -$14.6 | 50% 705-716 (1421) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.6¢ | $5.35 | — | -$5.35 | 52% 2446-2260 (4706) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.9¢ | $0.98 | — | -$0.98 | 47% 1924-2156 (4080) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 48% 1903-2089 (3992) |
Invested
$1,035.69
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10.52
Record
98%
3320-70 (3390)
Invested
$558.24
Value
$935.27
PnL
+$377.04
Record
51%
2914-2831 (5745)
Invested
$632.14
Value
$664.24
PnL
+$32.1
Record
47%
921-1056 (1977)
Invested
$509.82
Value
—
PnL
-$490.1
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Invested
$361.32
Value
$372.03
PnL
+$10.71
Record
55%
4299-3527 (7826)
gabigolInvested
$297.57
Value
$306.37
PnL
+$8.8
Record
49%
240-254 (494)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$385.88
Value
$261
PnL
+$9.79
Record
52%
2019-1897 (3916)
Invested
$324.11
Value
$250
PnL
-$74.11
Record
50%
1276-1266 (2542)
Invested
$323.37
Value
$250
PnL
-$73.37
Record
50%
1265-1289 (2554)
Invested
$257.64
Value
$245
PnL
-$12.64
Record
50%
457-452 (909)
Invested
$195.8
Value
$196
PnL
+$0.2
Record
51%
1285-1221 (2506)
Invested
$271.18
Value
$193.78
PnL
-$77.4
Record
51%
4524-4391 (8915)
Invested
$130.85
Value
$152.63
PnL
+$21.78
Record
58%
193-138 (331)
Invested
$224.81
Value
$139.6
PnL
-$34.41
Record
58%
4914-3586 (8500)
Invested
$75.19
Value
—
PnL
-$75.19
Record
41%
1439-2039 (3478)
Invested
$88.56
Value
$79.1
PnL
-$9.46
Record
49%
845-866 (1711)
Invested
$33.3
Value
$50
PnL
+$16.7
Record
50%
4199-4276 (8475)
Invested
$41.62
Value
$40
PnL
-$1.62
Record
52%
4832-4520 (9352)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$75
PnL
+$36.75
Record
48%
164-175 (339)
Invested
$20.92
Value
$30.77
PnL
+$9.85
Record
60%
3418-2292 (5710)
Invested
$14.6
Value
—
PnL
-$14.6
Record
50%
705-716 (1421)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.35
Value
—
PnL
-$5.35
Record
52%
2446-2260 (4706)
Invested
$0.98
Value
—
PnL
-$0.98
Record
47%
1924-2156 (4080)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
48%
1903-2089 (3992)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.0K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $935.27
CrouchPredictions
Down — $664.24
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
stepahead
Down — $372.03
gabigol
Down — $306.37
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $261
almach
Down — $250
mo-money
Down — $250
aswfadq1555
Down — $245