Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
36
Down 83%
$12.1K
-$867.8
Smart Money Signal
30 of 36 top traders (83%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 72¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | -$1.88 | 51% 2869-2774 (5643) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.8K | $1.9K | +$21.61 | 50% 1696-1707 (3403) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$19.98 | 98% 3242-69 (3311) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 80.2¢ | $1.3K | $1.2K | -$101.26 | 46% 902-1042 (1944) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 64¢ | $850.97 | $875.79 | +$24.81 | 55% 4277-3516 (7793) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 71.6¢ | $736.57 | $747 | +$10.43 | 50% 448-445 (893) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 83.3¢ | $905.06 | $655.34 | -$28.79 | 49% 1236-1272 (2508) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 57.2¢ | $579.54 | $560.94 | +$27.76 | 58% 4903-3576 (8479) |
BO bosona | Downavg 95.1¢ | $843.32 | $537.31 | -$306.01 | 51% 4490-4374 (8864) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.3¢ | $525.37 | — | -$496.98 | 55% 3113-2587 (5700) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 66.9¢ | $325.1 | $324.49 | +$26.87 | 51% 1978-1872 (3850) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 75.3¢ | $292.62 | $305.45 | +$22.13 | 50% 4163-4232 (8395) |
AL almach | Downavg 94.1¢ | $723.5 | $260.74 | -$65.14 | 50% 1247-1249 (2496) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 67.7¢ | $239.42 | $243.43 | +$4 | 49% 837-862 (1699) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 61¢ | $143.78 | $150 | +$9.22 | 47% 1939-2183 (4122) |
 gabigol | Downavg 89.7¢ | $116.77 | $127.2 | +$10.43 | 48% 234-252 (486) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 70¢ | $111.98 | $127.06 | +$15.08 | 52% 4799-4479 (9278) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 96.6¢ | $118.88 | $123 | +$4.12 | 26% 418-1192 (1610) |
 ohioism | Downavg 81.5¢ | $109.45 | $110 | +$12.05 | 48% 1870-2057 (3927) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 75¢ | $125.07 | $100 | +$7.75 | 59% 178-126 (304) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 58.8¢ | $43.5 | $74.03 | +$30.53 | 48% 162-174 (336) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $52.21 | $65.63 | +$13.42 | 47% 1893-2128 (4021) |
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.6¢ | $74.63 | — | -$74.63 | 38% 570-919 (1489) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $32 | $33 | +$1 | 34% 63-122 (185) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 32.9¢ | $23.65 | $40 | +$16.35 | 65% 1886-1036 (2922) |
Invested
$1,959.43
Value
$2.0K
PnL
-$1.88
Record
51%
2869-2774 (5643)
Invested
$1,849.67
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$21.61
Record
50%
1696-1707 (3403)
Invested
$1,453.34
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$19.98
Record
98%
3242-69 (3311)
Invested
$1,305.18
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$101.26
Record
46%
902-1042 (1944)
Invested
$850.97
Value
$875.79
PnL
+$24.81
Record
55%
4277-3516 (7793)
Invested
$736.57
Value
$747
PnL
+$10.43
Record
50%
448-445 (893)
Invested
$905.06
Value
$655.34
PnL
-$28.79
Record
49%
1236-1272 (2508)
Invested
$579.54
Value
$560.94
PnL
+$27.76
Record
58%
4903-3576 (8479)
Invested
$843.32
Value
$537.31
PnL
-$306.01
Record
51%
4490-4374 (8864)
Invested
$525.37
Value
—
PnL
-$496.98
Record
55%
3113-2587 (5700)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$325.1
Value
$324.49
PnL
+$26.87
Record
51%
1978-1872 (3850)
Invested
$292.62
Value
$305.45
PnL
+$22.13
Record
50%
4163-4232 (8395)
Invested
$723.5
Value
$260.74
PnL
-$65.14
Record
50%
1247-1249 (2496)
Invested
$239.42
Value
$243.43
PnL
+$4
Record
49%
837-862 (1699)
Invested
$143.78
Value
$150
PnL
+$9.22
Record
47%
1939-2183 (4122)
gabigolInvested
$116.77
Value
$127.2
PnL
+$10.43
Record
48%
234-252 (486)
Invested
$111.98
Value
$127.06
PnL
+$15.08
Record
52%
4799-4479 (9278)
NIULAI4Invested
$118.88
Value
$123
PnL
+$4.12
Record
26%
418-1192 (1610)
ohioismInvested
$109.45
Value
$110
PnL
+$12.05
Record
48%
1870-2057 (3927)
Invested
$125.07
Value
$100
PnL
+$7.75
Record
59%
178-126 (304)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$43.5
Value
$74.03
PnL
+$30.53
Record
48%
162-174 (336)
Invested
$52.21
Value
$65.63
PnL
+$13.42
Record
47%
1893-2128 (4021)
Invested
$74.63
Value
—
PnL
-$74.63
Record
38%
570-919 (1489)
Invested
$32
Value
$33
PnL
+$1
Record
34%
63-122 (185)
Invested
$23.65
Value
$40
PnL
+$16.35
Record
65%
1886-1036 (2922)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $2.0K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $1.9K
hoodquant
Down — $1.5K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.2K
stepahead
Down — $875.79
aswfadq1555
Down — $747
mo-money
Down — $655.34
Hcrystallash
Down — $560.94
bosona
Down — $537.31
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0