Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 70%

Total Value

$6.7K

Combined PnL

$203.81

Smart Money Signal

21 of 30 top traders (70%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up21 traders

Total Value$6.7K

Total Shares6,662

Combined PnL+$467.41

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,145

Combined PnL-$263.6

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.4¢	$1.4K	$1.5K	+$22.65	98% 3197-68 (3265)
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 84.6¢	$815.83	$716.59	-$87.69	50% 446-441 (887)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 63.5¢	$591.23	$565.79	+$59.11	58% 4899-3572 (8471)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.9¢	$513.87	$494.66	+$1.75	55% 3086-2563 (5649)
MO mo-money	Upavg 82¢	$413.12	$500	+$86.88	49% 1227-1262 (2489)
BO bosona	Upavg 82¢	$413.5	$500	+$86.5	51% 4479-4365 (8844)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 74.9¢	$384.61	$471.09	+$97.5	46% 896-1035 (1931)
AL almach	Upavg 82¢	$349.08	$422	+$72.92	50% 1236-1242 (2478)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 80.4¢	$461.55	$413.15	-$48.4	51% 2841-2744 (5585)
ST stepahead	Upavg 68.1¢	$329.08	$358.38	+$29.3	55% 4269-3511 (7780)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 78.5¢	$220.73	$232	+$11.87	51% 1963-1859 (3822)
FL flippingsharks	Upavg 87.3¢	$125.21	$143.41	+$18.2	39% 566-904 (1470)
AL Alpharo28	Upavg 64.1¢	$93.87	$127.27	+$36	58% 171-122 (293)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 83.5¢	$57.32	$58.88	+$1.56	49% 836-858 (1694)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 59¢	$47.2	$80	+$32.8	60% 3347-2246 (5593)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 47¢	$18.4	$35	+$16.6	47% 1925-2172 (4097)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 79¢	$31.6	$40	+$8.4	44% 1849-2382 (4231)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$25.26	—	-$25.26	50% 1684-1697 (3381)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$14.73	—	-$14.73	50% 689-693 (1382)
GH ghorrock<$100	Upavg 47.9¢	$11.23	$23.45	+$12.22	52% 1608-1475 (3083)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100	Upavg 70¢	$7	$10	+$3	58% 120-87 (207)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 43.1¢	$8.63	—	-$8.63	52% 2405-2202 (4607)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 79¢	$3.95	$5	+$1.05	48% 1104-1185 (2289)
RL RLWG<$100	Upavg 48¢	$4.8	$10	+$5.2	65% 1885-1032 (2917)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 13.1¢	$4.08	—	-$4.08	52% 4780-4466 (9246)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,432.35

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$22.65

Record

98%

3197-68 (3265)

aswfadq1555

Invested

$815.83

Value

$716.59

PnL

-$87.69

Record

50%

446-441 (887)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$591.23

Value

$565.79

PnL

+$59.11

Record

58%

4899-3572 (8471)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$513.87

Value

$494.66

PnL

+$1.75

Record

55%

3086-2563 (5649)

mo-money

Invested

$413.12

Value

$500

PnL

+$86.88

Record

49%

1227-1262 (2489)

bosona

Invested

$413.5

Value

$500

PnL

+$86.5

Record

51%

4479-4365 (8844)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$384.61

Value

$471.09

PnL

+$97.5

Record

46%

896-1035 (1931)

almach

Invested

$349.08

Value

$422

PnL

+$72.92

Record

50%

1236-1242 (2478)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$461.55

Value

$413.15

PnL

-$48.4

Record

51%

2841-2744 (5585)

stepahead

Invested

$329.08

Value

$358.38

PnL

+$29.3

Record

55%

4269-3511 (7780)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$220.73

Value

$232

PnL

+$11.87

Record

51%

1963-1859 (3822)

flippingsharks

Invested

$125.21

Value

$143.41

PnL

+$18.2

Record

39%

566-904 (1470)

Alpharo28

Invested

$93.87

Value

$127.27

PnL

+$36

Record

58%

171-122 (293)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$57.32

Value

$58.88

PnL

+$1.56

Record

49%

836-858 (1694)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$47.2

Value

$80

PnL

+$32.8

Record

60%

3347-2246 (5593)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$18.4

Value

$35

PnL

+$16.6

Record

47%

1925-2172 (4097)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$31.6

Value

$40

PnL

+$8.4

Record

44%

1849-2382 (4231)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$25.26

Value

—

PnL

-$25.26

Record

50%

1684-1697 (3381)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$14.73

Value

—

PnL

-$14.73

Record

50%

689-693 (1382)

ghorrock<$100

Invested

$11.23

Value

$23.45

PnL

+$12.22

Record

52%

1608-1475 (3083)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100

Invested

Value

$10

PnL

+$3

Record

58%

120-87 (207)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$8.63

Value

—

PnL

-$8.63

Record

52%

2405-2202 (4607)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$3.95

Value

PnL

+$1.05

Record

48%

1104-1185 (2289)

RLWG<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.2

Record

65%

1885-1032 (2917)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.08

Value

—

PnL

-$4.08

Record

52%

4780-4466 (9246)

Smart Money Signal

21 of 30 top traders (70%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x87294a34...5e7ce2

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794636900

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.5K

+$22.65

aswfadq1555

Up — $716.59

-$87.69

Hcrystallash

Up — $565.79

+$59.11

ByteBadger92

Up — $494.66

+$1.75

mo-money

Up — $500

+$86.88

bosona

Up — $500

+$86.5

CrouchPredictions

Up — $471.09

+$97.5

almach

Up — $422

+$72.92

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $413.15

-$48.4

stepahead

Up — $358.38

+$29.3

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