Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 79%

Total Value

$8.0K

Combined PnL

$258.75

Smart Money Signal

22 of 28 top traders (79%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up22 traders

Total Value$8.0K

Total Shares7,971

Combined PnL+$635.91

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,033

Combined PnL-$377.16

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.7K	$1.8K	+$17.59	98% 3197-68 (3265)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 80.3¢	$1.3K	$1.6K	+$261.9	51% 2841-2744 (5585)
AL almach	Upavg 82.7¢	$730.45	$780.09	+$49.64	50% 1236-1242 (2478)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 82.6¢	$778.19	$763.73	-$10.64	46% 896-1035 (1931)
MO mo-money	Upavg 85¢	$566.02	$558.01	-$8.01	49% 1227-1262 (2489)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.7¢	$513.07	$500	-$6	55% 3086-2563 (5649)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 64.8¢	$326.45	$408.83	+$82.38	51% 1963-1859 (3822)
gabigol	Upavg 89.4¢	$281.75	$315.09	+$33.34	48% 232-251 (483)
ST stepahead	Upavg 73¢	$258.71	$241.65	-$17.06	55% 4269-3511 (7780)
BO bosona	Upavg 80.2¢	$155.08	$193.48	+$38.4	51% 4479-4365 (8844)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 51.5¢	$126.21	$245	+$118.79	50% 1684-1697 (3381)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 95.2¢	$102.12	$107.27	+$5.15	41% 1381-1964 (3345)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972	Upavg 99¢	$99	$100	+$1	42% 268-377 (645)
FL flippingsharks	Upavg 72.3¢	$78.52	$108.65	+$30.13	39% 566-904 (1470)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 85.4¢	$58.8	$66	+$7.2	49% 836-858 (1694)
HC HcrystallashCTR	Downavg 34.7¢	$298.8	—	-$193.98	58% 4899-3572 (8471)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 97¢	$58.2	$60	+$1.8	44% 1849-2382 (4231)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 67.1¢	$41.53	$60.25	+$18.72	60% 3347-2246 (5593)
AL Alpharo28<$100	Upavg 76.8¢	$64.75	$48	-$12.15	58% 171-122 (293)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 50¢	$15	$30	+$15	50% 689-693 (1382)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 77.6¢	$23.28	$30	+$6.72	52% 4780-4466 (9246)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 84¢	$14.62	$14	-$0.62	52% 2405-2202 (4607)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$31.85	—	-$31.7	47% 1925-2172 (4097)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Upavg 53¢	$2.97	$5.6	+$2.63	50% 446-441 (887)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 42¢	$2.1	—	-$2.1	48% 1104-1185 (2289)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,741.41

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$17.59

Record

98%

3197-68 (3265)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,314.43

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$261.9

Record

51%

2841-2744 (5585)

almach

Invested

$730.45

Value

$780.09

PnL

+$49.64

Record

50%

1236-1242 (2478)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$778.19

Value

$763.73

PnL

-$10.64

Record

46%

896-1035 (1931)

mo-money

Invested

$566.02

Value

$558.01

PnL

-$8.01

Record

49%

1227-1262 (2489)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$513.07

Value

$500

PnL

-$6

Record

55%

3086-2563 (5649)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$326.45

Value

$408.83

PnL

+$82.38

Record

51%

1963-1859 (3822)

gabigol

Invested

$281.75

Value

$315.09

PnL

+$33.34

Record

48%

232-251 (483)

stepahead

Invested

$258.71

Value

$241.65

PnL

-$17.06

Record

55%

4269-3511 (7780)

bosona

Invested

$155.08

Value

$193.48

PnL

+$38.4

Record

51%

4479-4365 (8844)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$126.21

Value

$245

PnL

+$118.79

Record

50%

1684-1697 (3381)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$102.12

Value

$107.27

PnL

+$5.15

Record

41%

1381-1964 (3345)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972

Invested

$99

Value

$100

PnL

+$1

Record

42%

268-377 (645)

flippingsharks

Invested

$78.52

Value

$108.65

PnL

+$30.13

Record

39%

566-904 (1470)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$58.8

Value

$66

PnL

+$7.2

Record

49%

836-858 (1694)

HcrystallashCTR

Down

Invested

$298.8

Value

—

PnL

-$193.98

Record

58%

4899-3572 (8471)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$58.2

Value

$60

PnL

+$1.8

Record

44%

1849-2382 (4231)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$41.53

Value

$60.25

PnL

+$18.72

Record

60%

3347-2246 (5593)

Alpharo28<$100

Invested

$64.75

Value

$48

PnL

-$12.15

Record

58%

171-122 (293)

PBot-6<$100

Invested

$15

Value

$30

PnL

+$15

Record

50%

689-693 (1382)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$23.28

Value

$30

PnL

+$6.72

Record

52%

4780-4466 (9246)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$14.62

Value

$14

PnL

-$0.62

Record

52%

2405-2202 (4607)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$31.85

Value

—

PnL

-$31.7

Record

47%

1925-2172 (4097)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$2.97

Value

$5.6

PnL

+$2.63

Record

50%

446-441 (887)

PBot-5CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

48%

1104-1185 (2289)

Smart Money Signal

22 of 28 top traders (79%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x46ffc5a2...5f2f24

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794635100

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.8K

+$17.59

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $1.6K

+$261.9

almach

Up — $780.09

+$49.64

CrouchPredictions

Up — $763.73

-$10.64

mo-money

Up — $558.01

-$8.01

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

-$6

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $408.83

+$82.38

gabigol

Up — $315.09

+$33.34

stepahead

Up — $241.65

-$17.06

bosona

Up — $193.48

+$38.4

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