Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Down 74%
$7.4K
$19.25
Smart Money Signal
23 of 33 top traders (70%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 95.5¢ | $1.7K | $1.8K | +$82.53 | 41% 1336-1928 (3264) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 95.7¢ | $1.4K | $1.3K | -$40.57 | 51% 1930-1826 (3756) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 86.9¢ | $892.61 | $940.8 | +$48.19 | 50% 436-435 (871) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 81.1¢ | $956.21 | $850.28 | +$186.96 | 51% 2812-2714 (5526) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 72.4¢ | $634.45 | $836.47 | +$218.06 | 58% 4878-3558 (8436) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.7¢ | $506.26 | — | -$489.62 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 69.8¢ | $283.64 | $406.31 | +$122.67 | 46% 880-1020 (1900) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 78¢ | $219.21 | $240.19 | +$20.98 | 55% 4254-3494 (7748) |
AA aaa221 | Downavg 91.9¢ | $191.94 | $208.92 | +$16.98 | 60% 3298-2213 (5511) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $141 | $151.08 | +$10.08 | 42% 266-374 (640) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $128.97 | $135 | +$6.03 | 49% 827-855 (1682) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $122.8 | $130 | +$8.4 | 59% 156-109 (265) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.8¢ | $65.27 | $67.17 | +$1.9 | 67% 3145-1560 (4705) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 93.8¢ | $60.95 | $65 | +$4.05 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $42.93 | $50.5 | +$7.57 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $43 | $50 | +$7 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 98.9¢ | $866.72 | $45.45 | -$32.88 | 49% 1204-1240 (2444) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 89.8¢ | $39.81 | $38.95 | -$0.55 | 50% 2202-2243 (4445) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Downavg 98.3¢ | $280.66 | $28.84 | +$8.54 | 63% 3717-2213 (5930) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $25.25 | $25 | -$0.25 | 48% 1833-1999 (3832) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.7¢ | $19.79 | $20.04 | +$0.25 | 98% 3131-65 (3196) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91.6¢ | $16.2 | $16.38 | +$0.18 | 64% 2208-1239 (3447) |
 gabigolCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.1¢ | $24.79 | — | -$24.79 | 49% 231-244 (475) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $12.01 | $12.98 | +$0.97 | 47% 1892-2135 (4027) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.4¢ | $20.52 | — | -$20.52 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
Invested
$1,736.47
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$82.53
Record
41%
1336-1928 (3264)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,374.62
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$40.57
Record
51%
1930-1826 (3756)
Invested
$892.61
Value
$940.8
PnL
+$48.19
Record
50%
436-435 (871)
Invested
$956.21
Value
$850.28
PnL
+$186.96
Record
51%
2812-2714 (5526)
Invested
$634.45
Value
$836.47
PnL
+$218.06
Record
58%
4878-3558 (8436)
Invested
$506.26
Value
—
PnL
-$489.62
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
Invested
$283.64
Value
$406.31
PnL
+$122.67
Record
46%
880-1020 (1900)
Invested
$219.21
Value
$240.19
PnL
+$20.98
Record
55%
4254-3494 (7748)
Invested
$191.94
Value
$208.92
PnL
+$16.98
Record
60%
3298-2213 (5511)
Invested
$141
Value
$151.08
PnL
+$10.08
Record
42%
266-374 (640)
Invested
$128.97
Value
$135
PnL
+$6.03
Record
49%
827-855 (1682)
Invested
$122.8
Value
$130
PnL
+$8.4
Record
59%
156-109 (265)
Invested
$65.27
Value
$67.17
PnL
+$1.9
Record
67%
3145-1560 (4705)
Invested
$60.95
Value
$65
PnL
+$4.05
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$42.93
Value
$50.5
PnL
+$7.57
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
Invested
$43
Value
$50
PnL
+$7
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Invested
$866.72
Value
$45.45
PnL
-$32.88
Record
49%
1204-1240 (2444)
Invested
$39.81
Value
$38.95
PnL
-$0.55
Record
50%
2202-2243 (4445)
Invested
$280.66
Value
$28.84
PnL
+$8.54
Record
63%
3717-2213 (5930)
ohioism<$100Invested
$25.25
Value
$25
PnL
-$0.25
Record
48%
1833-1999 (3832)
Invested
$19.79
Value
$20.04
PnL
+$0.25
Record
98%
3131-65 (3196)
Invested
$16.2
Value
$16.38
PnL
+$0.18
Record
64%
2208-1239 (3447)
gabigolCTR<$100Invested
$24.79
Value
—
PnL
-$24.79
Record
49%
231-244 (475)
Invested
$12.01
Value
$12.98
PnL
+$0.97
Record
47%
1892-2135 (4027)
Invested
$20.52
Value
—
PnL
-$20.52
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $1.8K
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $1.3K
aswfadq1555
Down — $940.8
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $850.28
Hcrystallash
Down — $836.47
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
CrouchPredictions
Down — $406.31
stepahead
Down — $240.19
aaa221
Down — $208.92
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Down — $151.08