Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Down 76%
$11.9K
-$725.26
Smart Money Signal
26 of 34 top traders (76%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.0K | $6.0K | +$6.01 | 50% 1135-1122 (2257) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 91.4¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | -$22.77 | 58% 4784-3498 (8282) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $774.98 | $782.81 | +$7.83 | 98% 2839-60 (2899) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 93.6¢ | $633.74 | $614.52 | -$19.22 | 51% 2495-2439 (4934) |
AL almach | Downavg 99.7¢ | $523.5 | $500 | -$23.5 | 50% 1107-1127 (2234) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.4¢ | $503.69 | — | -$489.47 | 55% 2727-2200 (4927) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 99.8¢ | $549.58 | $488.9 | -$60.68 | 49% 1097-1145 (2242) |
BO bosona | Downavg 99.4¢ | $517 | $422.27 | -$17 | 51% 4353-4244 (8597) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 80.8¢ | $395.64 | $333.44 | -$62.2 | 50% 395-401 (796) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 89.5¢ | $231.55 | $220.97 | -$10.58 | 51% 1762-1676 (3438) |
 gabigol | Downavg 95.4¢ | $171.25 | $175.16 | +$3.91 | 48% 210-226 (436) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 57.2¢ | $81.62 | $142.62 | +$61 | 51% 782-744 (1526) |
AL Alpharo28 | Downavg 73.8¢ | $139.23 | $141 | +$24.32 | 59% 65-45 (110) |
ST stepahead<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $89.39 | $78.53 | -$10.86 | 55% 4157-3431 (7588) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.6¢ | $68.74 | $86.18 | +$17.44 | 60% 3075-2056 (5131) |
FL flippingsharks | Downavg 62.5¢ | $64.77 | $103.61 | +$38.84 | 38% 493-800 (1293) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 35¢ | $203.45 | — | -$171.11 | 46% 800-941 (1741) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $36.85 | $75.2 | +$38.35 | 51% 624-605 (1229) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $33.81 | — | -$28.04 | 63% 3391-2033 (5424) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $23.39 | $31 | +$7.61 | 66% 2874-1453 (4327) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $25.6 | $20 | -$5.6 | 49% 802-821 (1623) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $15.6 | $20 | +$4.4 | 47% 1691-1909 (3600) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94.9¢ | $15.18 | $16 | +$0.82 | 49% 2006-2058 (4064) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $14.54 | $21.7 | +$7.16 | 49% 3898-3999 (7897) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $14.18 | $13 | -$1.18 | 52% 4550-4257 (8807) |
Invested
$6,002
Value
$6.0K
PnL
+$6.01
Record
50%
1135-1122 (2257)
Invested
$1,623.5
Value
$1.6K
PnL
-$22.77
Record
58%
4784-3498 (8282)
Invested
$774.98
Value
$782.81
PnL
+$7.83
Record
98%
2839-60 (2899)
Invested
$633.74
Value
$614.52
PnL
-$19.22
Record
51%
2495-2439 (4934)
Invested
$523.5
Value
$500
PnL
-$23.5
Record
50%
1107-1127 (2234)
Invested
$503.69
Value
—
PnL
-$489.47
Record
55%
2727-2200 (4927)
Invested
$549.58
Value
$488.9
PnL
-$60.68
Record
49%
1097-1145 (2242)
Invested
$517
Value
$422.27
PnL
-$17
Record
51%
4353-4244 (8597)
Invested
$395.64
Value
$333.44
PnL
-$62.2
Record
50%
395-401 (796)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$231.55
Value
$220.97
PnL
-$10.58
Record
51%
1762-1676 (3438)
gabigolInvested
$171.25
Value
$175.16
PnL
+$3.91
Record
48%
210-226 (436)
Invested
$81.62
Value
$142.62
PnL
+$61
Record
51%
782-744 (1526)
Invested
$139.23
Value
$141
PnL
+$24.32
Record
59%
65-45 (110)
Invested
$89.39
Value
$78.53
PnL
-$10.86
Record
55%
4157-3431 (7588)
Invested
$68.74
Value
$86.18
PnL
+$17.44
Record
60%
3075-2056 (5131)
Invested
$64.77
Value
$103.61
PnL
+$38.84
Record
38%
493-800 (1293)
Invested
$203.45
Value
—
PnL
-$171.11
Record
46%
800-941 (1741)
Invested
$36.85
Value
$75.2
PnL
+$38.35
Record
51%
624-605 (1229)
Invested
$33.81
Value
—
PnL
-$28.04
Record
63%
3391-2033 (5424)
Invested
$23.39
Value
$31
PnL
+$7.61
Record
66%
2874-1453 (4327)
Invested
$25.6
Value
$20
PnL
-$5.6
Record
49%
802-821 (1623)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.4
Record
47%
1691-1909 (3600)
Invested
$15.18
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.82
Record
49%
2006-2058 (4064)
Invested
$14.54
Value
$21.7
PnL
+$7.16
Record
49%
3898-3999 (7897)
Invested
$14.18
Value
$13
PnL
-$1.18
Record
52%
4550-4257 (8807)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.0K
Hcrystallash
Down — $1.6K
hoodquant
Down — $782.81
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $614.52
almach
Down — $500
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
mo-money
Down — $488.9
bosona
Down — $422.27
aswfadq1555
Down — $333.44
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $220.97