Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 83%

Total Value

$7.5K

Combined PnL

$43.9

Smart Money Signal

20 of 24 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up20 traders

Total Value$7.5K

Total Shares7,530

Combined PnL+$435.93

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares984

Combined PnL-$392.02

Up — 83%Down — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$2.8K	$2.8K	+$28.42	72% 1328-513 (1841)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.7¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	+$21.83	98% 2839-60 (2899)
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 68.8¢	$600.02	$871.91	+$271.89	50% 395-401 (796)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 85¢	$490.15	$554.97	+$64.82	51% 2495-2439 (4934)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	55% 2727-2200 (4927)
gabigol	Upavg 94.2¢	$275.35	$292.16	+$16.81	48% 210-226 (436)
ST stepahead	Upavg 70.4¢	$187.77	$218.08	+$30.3	55% 4157-3431 (7588)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 66.4¢	$216.56	$186.56	-$29.88	58% 4784-3498 (8282)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 54.1¢	$111.28	$104.94	+$1.03	51% 1762-1676 (3438)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR	Downavg 26¢	$232.12	—	-$195.32	46% 800-941 (1741)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 65.4¢	$81.1	$95.2	+$26.9	60% 3075-2056 (5131)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 97.7¢	$68	$60	-$8	49% 802-821 (1623)
AL Alpharo28<$100	Upavg 82.7¢	$49.6	$60	+$10.4	59% 65-45 (110)
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100	Upavg 98¢	$49.5	$50.51	+$1.01	40% 246-369 (615)
MO mo-moneyCTR	Downavg 41.8¢	$145.37	—	-$145.37	49% 1097-1145 (2242)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 70.6¢	$11.3	$16	+$4.7	66% 2874-1453 (4327)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 72¢	$7.2	$10	+$2.8	63% 3391-2033 (5424)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 59¢	$3.25	$5.5	+$2.26	40% 1121-1688 (2809)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 86¢	$4.55	$5.29	+$0.74	64% 2024-1152 (3176)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 86¢	$4.3	$5	+$0.7	49% 2006-2058 (4064)
BO bosona	Upavg 95¢	$164.18	$4.58	-$12.5	51% 4353-4244 (8597)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 42¢	$1.22	$2.91	+$1.69	50% 1107-1127 (2234)
FL flippingsharksCTR<$100	Downavg 46.5¢	$51.24	—	-$51.24	38% 493-800 (1293)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Downavg 5.5¢	$1.64	—	-$0.1	46% 2104-2463 (4567)

BoneOhio

Invested

$2,814.07

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$28.42

Record

72%

1328-513 (1841)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,622.22

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$21.83

Record

98%

2839-60 (2899)

aswfadq1555

Invested

$600.02

Value

$871.91

PnL

+$271.89

Record

50%

395-401 (796)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$490.15

Value

$554.97

PnL

+$64.82

Record

51%

2495-2439 (4934)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

2727-2200 (4927)

gabigol

Invested

$275.35

Value

$292.16

PnL

+$16.81

Record

48%

210-226 (436)

stepahead

Invested

$187.77

Value

$218.08

PnL

+$30.3

Record

55%

4157-3431 (7588)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$216.56

Value

$186.56

PnL

-$29.88

Record

58%

4784-3498 (8282)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$111.28

Value

$104.94

PnL

+$1.03

Record

51%

1762-1676 (3438)

CrouchPredictionsCTR

Down

Invested

$232.12

Value

—

PnL

-$195.32

Record

46%

800-941 (1741)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$81.1

Value

$95.2

PnL

+$26.9

Record

60%

3075-2056 (5131)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$68

Value

$60

PnL

-$8

Record

49%

802-821 (1623)

Alpharo28<$100

Invested

$49.6

Value

$60

PnL

+$10.4

Record

59%

65-45 (110)

0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972<$100

Invested

$49.5

Value

$50.51

PnL

+$1.01

Record

40%

246-369 (615)

mo-moneyCTR

Down

Invested

$145.37

Value

—

PnL

-$145.37

Record

49%

1097-1145 (2242)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$11.3

Value

$16

PnL

+$4.7

Record

66%

2874-1453 (4327)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.2

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.8

Record

63%

3391-2033 (5424)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.25

Value

$5.5

PnL

+$2.26

Record

40%

1121-1688 (2809)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.55

Value

$5.29

PnL

+$0.74

Record

64%

2024-1152 (3176)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.3

Value

PnL

+$0.7

Record

49%

2006-2058 (4064)

bosona

Invested

$164.18

Value

$4.58

PnL

-$12.5

Record

51%

4353-4244 (8597)

almach<$100

Invested

$1.22

Value

$2.91

PnL

+$1.69

Record

50%

1107-1127 (2234)

flippingsharksCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$51.24

Value

—

PnL

-$51.24

Record

38%

493-800 (1293)

suntoriCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$1.64

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

46%

2104-2463 (4567)

Smart Money Signal

20 of 24 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x40bda462...a12287

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794591000

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Up — $2.8K

+$28.42

hoodquant

Up — $1.6K

+$21.83

aswfadq1555

Up — $871.91

+$271.89

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $554.97

+$64.82

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$0

gabigol

Up — $292.16

+$16.81

stepahead

Up — $218.08

+$30.3

Hcrystallash

Up — $186.56

-$29.88

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $104.94

CrouchPredictions

Down — $0