Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Down 82%
$12.7K
-$245.38
Smart Money Signal
28 of 34 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | 73% 1126-414 (1540) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5¢ | $1.9K | $1.9K | +$27.68 | 98% 2447-49 (2496) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 79.9¢ | $814.74 | $1.0K | +$191.63 | 48% 896-962 (1858) |
BO bosona | Downavg 82.4¢ | $769.84 | $917.36 | +$147.52 | 50% 4140-4074 (8214) |
AL almach | Downavg 80.9¢ | $782.06 | $905.8 | +$123.74 | 49% 897-952 (1849) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $873.13 | $874 | +$0.87 | 49% 949-993 (1942) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 70.3¢ | $699.5 | $606.05 | -$74.01 | 50% 2029-2035 (4064) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
ST stepahead | Downavg 61.1¢ | $395.05 | $451.27 | +$56.22 | 55% 3986-3312 (7298) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 61.1¢ | $430.33 | $523.92 | +$93.6 | 45% 667-799 (1466) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 68.3¢ | $383.47 | $380.95 | +$3.73 | 50% 323-327 (650) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 60.5¢ | $219.06 | $270.51 | +$51.45 | 52% 1478-1365 (2843) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 53.6¢ | $106.21 | $198.09 | +$91.88 | 52% 678-618 (1296) |
 gabigol | Downavg 78.2¢ | $148.31 | $184.54 | +$36.22 | 52% 190-177 (367) |
 ohioism | Downavg 58¢ | $103.59 | $178.49 | +$74.9 | 48% 1394-1530 (2924) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 58.4¢ | $69.9 | $74.42 | +$4.52 | 46% 119-137 (256) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 74.4¢ | $59.5 | $80 | +$20.5 | 48% 818-882 (1700) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 50.1¢ | $69.07 | $138 | +$68.93 | 58% 4631-3405 (8036) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 57.4¢ | $42.03 | $65.66 | +$23.63 | 48% 677-723 (1400) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 62.9¢ | $59.1 | $62.62 | +$5.22 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $72.15 | $74.99 | +$2.84 | 46% 1383-1602 (2985) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $49.92 | $67 | +$17.08 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $48.41 | $60 | +$11.59 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 58.5¢ | $43.96 | $75.1 | +$31.14 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
BoneOhioInvested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
73%
1126-414 (1540)
Invested
$1,872.32
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$27.68
Record
98%
2447-49 (2496)
Invested
$814.74
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$191.63
Record
48%
896-962 (1858)
Invested
$769.84
Value
$917.36
PnL
+$147.52
Record
50%
4140-4074 (8214)
Invested
$782.06
Value
$905.8
PnL
+$123.74
Record
49%
897-952 (1849)
Invested
$873.13
Value
$874
PnL
+$0.87
Record
49%
949-993 (1942)
Invested
$699.5
Value
$606.05
PnL
-$74.01
Record
50%
2029-2035 (4064)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$395.05
Value
$451.27
PnL
+$56.22
Record
55%
3986-3312 (7298)
Invested
$430.33
Value
$523.92
PnL
+$93.6
Record
45%
667-799 (1466)
Invested
$383.47
Value
$380.95
PnL
+$3.73
Record
50%
323-327 (650)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$219.06
Value
$270.51
PnL
+$51.45
Record
52%
1478-1365 (2843)
Invested
$106.21
Value
$198.09
PnL
+$91.88
Record
52%
678-618 (1296)
gabigolInvested
$148.31
Value
$184.54
PnL
+$36.22
Record
52%
190-177 (367)
ohioismInvested
$103.59
Value
$178.49
PnL
+$74.9
Record
48%
1394-1530 (2924)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$69.9
Value
$74.42
PnL
+$4.52
Record
46%
119-137 (256)
Invested
$59.5
Value
$80
PnL
+$20.5
Record
48%
818-882 (1700)
Invested
$69.07
Value
$138
PnL
+$68.93
Record
58%
4631-3405 (8036)
Invested
$42.03
Value
$65.66
PnL
+$23.63
Record
48%
677-723 (1400)
Invested
$59.1
Value
$62.62
PnL
+$5.22
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
Invested
$72.15
Value
$74.99
PnL
+$2.84
Record
46%
1383-1602 (2985)
Invested
$49.92
Value
$67
PnL
+$17.08
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$48.41
Value
$60
PnL
+$11.59
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$43.96
Value
$75.1
PnL
+$31.14
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $3.5K
hoodquant
Down — $1.9K
mo-money
Down — $1.0K
bosona
Down — $917.36
almach
Down — $905.8
0x50f7
Down — $874
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $606.05
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
stepahead
Down — $451.27