Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 68%
$5.4K
-$168.15
Smart Money Signal
17 of 25 top traders (68%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$17.84 | 98% 2447-49 (2496) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 72.9¢ | $527.05 | $712.91 | +$195.98 | 38% 771-1268 (2039) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
AL almach | Upavg 98¢ | $490.5 | $500 | +$9.5 | 49% 897-952 (1849) |
 gabigol | Upavg 98.7¢ | $302.54 | $304 | +$1.46 | 52% 190-177 (367) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 75.2¢ | $576.06 | $290.93 | -$0.91 | 52% 1478-1365 (2843) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 98.2¢ | $253.83 | $255.95 | +$2.12 | 48% 896-962 (1858) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 86.6¢ | $177.39 | $181.24 | +$3.85 | 50% 323-327 (650) |
BO bosona | Upavg 98¢ | $122.5 | $125 | +$2.5 | 50% 4140-4074 (8214) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 98.1¢ | $85.39 | $87 | +$1.61 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Downavg 33.5¢ | $138.53 | — | -$138.53 | 55% 3986-3312 (7298) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85.3¢ | $62.79 | $67.09 | +$4.44 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 77.6¢ | $31.04 | $39.99 | +$8.95 | 48% 677-723 (1400) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $19.08 | — | -$19.08 | 53% 1117-973 (2090) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $18.51 | $10 | -$5.65 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 69.2¢ | $7.15 | $10.33 | +$3.18 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 31.4¢ | $119.41 | — | -$119.41 | 45% 667-799 (1466) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $4.04 | $5 | +$0.96 | 47% 1444-1636 (3080) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $9.38 | — | -$7.18 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 48% 1394-1530 (2924) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 50% 492-490 (982) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $76.5 | — | -$76.5 | 52% 678-618 (1296) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.5¢ | $38.25 | — | -$38.25 | 46% 119-137 (256) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10.5 | — | -$10.5 | 58% 4631-3405 (8036) |
Invested
$1,755.22
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$17.84
Record
98%
2447-49 (2496)
Invested
$527.05
Value
$712.91
PnL
+$195.98
Record
38%
771-1268 (2039)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$490.5
Value
$500
PnL
+$9.5
Record
49%
897-952 (1849)
gabigolInvested
$302.54
Value
$304
PnL
+$1.46
Record
52%
190-177 (367)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$576.06
Value
$290.93
PnL
-$0.91
Record
52%
1478-1365 (2843)
Invested
$253.83
Value
$255.95
PnL
+$2.12
Record
48%
896-962 (1858)
Invested
$177.39
Value
$181.24
PnL
+$3.85
Record
50%
323-327 (650)
Invested
$122.5
Value
$125
PnL
+$2.5
Record
50%
4140-4074 (8214)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$85.39
Value
$87
PnL
+$1.61
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
Invested
$138.53
Value
—
PnL
-$138.53
Record
55%
3986-3312 (7298)
Invested
$62.79
Value
$67.09
PnL
+$4.44
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
Invested
$31.04
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$8.95
Record
48%
677-723 (1400)
Invested
$19.08
Value
—
PnL
-$19.08
Record
53%
1117-973 (2090)
Invested
$18.51
Value
$10
PnL
-$5.65
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
Invested
$7.15
Value
$10.33
PnL
+$3.18
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
Invested
$119.41
Value
—
PnL
-$119.41
Record
45%
667-799 (1466)
Invested
$4.04
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.96
Record
47%
1444-1636 (3080)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$9.38
Value
—
PnL
-$7.18
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
48%
1394-1530 (2924)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
50%
492-490 (982)
Invested
$76.5
Value
—
PnL
-$76.5
Record
52%
678-618 (1296)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
—
PnL
-$38.25
Record
46%
119-137 (256)
Invested
$10.5
Value
—
PnL
-$10.5
Record
58%
4631-3405 (8036)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.8K
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $712.91
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
almach
Up — $500
gabigol
Up — $304
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $290.93
mo-money
Up — $255.95
aswfadq1555
Up — $181.24
bosona
Up — $125