Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
37
Up 61%
2 arb excluded
$8.9K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
22 of 37 top traders (59%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed15 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 56.7¢ | $1.9K | $1.8K | -$135.26 | 50% 1977-1974 (3951) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 85.6¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | -$0.77 | 58% 4615-3393 (8008) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 37.1¢ | $533.08 | $1.4K | +$902.11 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 58.2¢ | $664.62 | $628.77 | -$35.85 | 46% 655-779 (1434) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Downavg 38.5¢ | $575.07 | — | -$575.07 | 55% 3964-3302 (7266) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 89.9¢ | $515.33 | $541.3 | +$25.98 | 48% 875-948 (1823) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $469.89 | $474.69 | +$4.8 | 98% 2405-48 (2453) |
BO bosona | Upavg 91¢ | $458.36 | $500 | +$41.64 | 50% 4114-4061 (8175) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 38.7¢ | $257.44 | $444.32 | +$186.88 | 49% 313-326 (639) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 79¢ | $458.5 | — | -$458.5 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
AL almach | Upavg 92¢ | $249.22 | $244.04 | -$0.87 | 48% 875-935 (1810) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $227.65 | $227.88 | +$0.23 | 49% 936-980 (1916) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 63.1¢ | $369.89 | $152 | +$6.67 | 52% 1456-1332 (2788) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $136.48 | $140 | +$3.52 | 48% 661-703 (1364) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 65.4¢ | $75.91 | $75.07 | +$1.08 | 66% 2369-1200 (3569) |
AA aaa221ARB<$100 | Upavg 55.8¢ | $81.61 | $73.84 | -$7.77 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 55.8¢ | $41.21 | $73.84 | +$32.63 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.3¢ | $40.4 | — | -$40.4 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $50.15 | $65 | +$14.85 | 47% 1411-1608 (3019) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.2¢ | $26.75 | $65 | +$38.25 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39¢ | $23.4 | — | -$23.4 | |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 54.9¢ | $61.54 | — | -$61.54 | 52% 666-603 (1269) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 57.1¢ | $49.68 | $63 | +$13.32 | 48% 1361-1500 (2861) |
 gabigol<$100 | Upavg 17.6¢ | $21.03 | $59.86 | +$38.83 | 52% 185-174 (359) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $53.5 | $43.38 | -$10.12 | 48% 1603-1710 (3313) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $16.8 | $30 | +$13.2 | 46% 1350-1577 (2927) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 63.3¢ | $17.95 | $28.36 | +$10.41 | 55% 1432-1173 (2605) |
Invested
$1,917.01
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$135.26
Record
50%
1977-1974 (3951)
Invested
$1,773.24
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$0.77
Record
58%
4615-3393 (8008)
Invested
$533.08
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$902.11
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
Invested
$664.62
Value
$628.77
PnL
-$35.85
Record
46%
655-779 (1434)
Invested
$575.07
Value
—
PnL
-$575.07
Record
55%
3964-3302 (7266)
Invested
$515.33
Value
$541.3
PnL
+$25.98
Record
48%
875-948 (1823)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$469.89
Value
$474.69
PnL
+$4.8
Record
98%
2405-48 (2453)
Invested
$458.36
Value
$500
PnL
+$41.64
Record
50%
4114-4061 (8175)
Invested
$257.44
Value
$444.32
PnL
+$186.88
Record
49%
313-326 (639)
Invested
$458.5
Value
—
PnL
-$458.5
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$249.22
Value
$244.04
PnL
-$0.87
Record
48%
875-935 (1810)
Invested
$227.65
Value
$227.88
PnL
+$0.23
Record
49%
936-980 (1916)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$369.89
Value
$152
PnL
+$6.67
Record
52%
1456-1332 (2788)
Invested
$136.48
Value
$140
PnL
+$3.52
Record
48%
661-703 (1364)
Invested
$75.91
Value
$75.07
PnL
+$1.08
Record
66%
2369-1200 (3569)
Invested
$81.61
Value
$73.84
PnL
-$7.77
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
Both legs:
Invested
$50.15
Value
$65
PnL
+$14.85
Record
47%
1411-1608 (3019)
Both legs:
Invested
$61.54
Value
—
PnL
-$61.54
Record
52%
666-603 (1269)
ohioism<$100Invested
$49.68
Value
$63
PnL
+$13.32
Record
48%
1361-1500 (2861)
gabigol<$100Invested
$21.03
Value
$59.86
PnL
+$38.83
Record
52%
185-174 (359)
Invested
$53.5
Value
$43.38
PnL
-$10.12
Record
48%
1603-1710 (3313)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$13.2
Record
46%
1350-1577 (2927)
Invested
$17.95
Value
$28.36
PnL
+$10.41
Record
55%
1432-1173 (2605)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.8K
Hcrystallash
Up — $1.8K
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $1.4K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $628.77
stepahead
CTRDown — $0
mo-money
Up — $541.3
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $474.69
bosona
Up — $500