Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 80%
$5.1K
-$214.69
Smart Money Signal
24 of 30 top traders (80%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 93.5¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$70.53 | 57% 4456-3312 (7768) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 75.3¢ | $609.53 | $809.63 | +$200.1 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 84.2¢ | $638.25 | $531 | -$107.25 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $511 | $500.01 | +$10.4 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 73.6¢ | $390.22 | $489.29 | +$99.07 | 46% 563-662 (1225) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 67.9¢ | $375.07 | $331.63 | +$8.94 | 54% 3834-3208 (7042) |
 ohioism | Downavg 73.1¢ | $175.4 | $240 | +$64.6 | 48% 1146-1235 (2381) |
DE devonpoll | Downavg 50¢ | $181.7 | $180 | +$2.06 | 51% 235-230 (465) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 71.8¢ | $258.61 | $180 | +$1.36 | 53% 1239-1097 (2336) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 60¢ | $60 | $100 | +$40 | 74% 910-315 (1225) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $80.79 | $90 | +$9.21 | 52% 3913-3669 (7582) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $75.61 | $80 | +$4.61 | 44% 1135-1448 (2583) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $71.4 | $70 | -$1.4 | 46% 1117-1330 (2447) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 99.6¢ | $92.83 | $66.5 | -$26.33 | 46% 718-833 (1551) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 85.4¢ | $71.5 | $65 | -$6.22 | 47% 1159-1332 (2491) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 99.6¢ | $60.96 | $45.97 | -$14.99 | 47% 716-816 (1532) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 99.6¢ | $56.88 | $42.46 | -$14.42 | 50% 3943-3950 (7893) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 68.8¢ | $25.61 | $37.21 | +$11.6 | 66% 1988-1002 (2990) |
 gabigol<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $33 | $30.7 | -$2.3 | 54% 164-142 (306) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $29.8 | $32.75 | +$2.95 | 60% 2157-1447 (3604) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $15.47 | $20.34 | +$4.87 | 47% 1308-1484 (2792) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 76.2¢ | $12.8 | $16.8 | +$4 | 62% 1374-851 (2225) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 65.1¢ | $27.6 | $20.27 | +$5.12 | 62% 2279-1406 (3685) |
IM imoore-40CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 90% 226-24 (250) |
Invested
$1,010.72
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$70.53
Record
57%
4456-3312 (7768)
Invested
$609.53
Value
$809.63
PnL
+$200.1
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
Invested
$638.25
Value
$531
PnL
-$107.25
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$511
Value
$500.01
PnL
+$10.4
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Invested
$390.22
Value
$489.29
PnL
+$99.07
Record
46%
563-662 (1225)
Invested
$375.07
Value
$331.63
PnL
+$8.94
Record
54%
3834-3208 (7042)
ohioismInvested
$175.4
Value
$240
PnL
+$64.6
Record
48%
1146-1235 (2381)
Invested
$181.7
Value
$180
PnL
+$2.06
Record
51%
235-230 (465)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$258.61
Value
$180
PnL
+$1.36
Record
53%
1239-1097 (2336)
BoneOhioInvested
$60
Value
$100
PnL
+$40
Record
74%
910-315 (1225)
Invested
$80.79
Value
$90
PnL
+$9.21
Record
52%
3913-3669 (7582)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$75.61
Value
$80
PnL
+$4.61
Record
44%
1135-1448 (2583)
Invested
$71.4
Value
$70
PnL
-$1.4
Record
46%
1117-1330 (2447)
Invested
$92.83
Value
$66.5
PnL
-$26.33
Record
46%
718-833 (1551)
Invested
$71.5
Value
$65
PnL
-$6.22
Record
47%
1159-1332 (2491)
Invested
$60.96
Value
$45.97
PnL
-$14.99
Record
47%
716-816 (1532)
Invested
$56.88
Value
$42.46
PnL
-$14.42
Record
50%
3943-3950 (7893)
Invested
$25.61
Value
$37.21
PnL
+$11.6
Record
66%
1988-1002 (2990)
gabigol<$100Invested
$33
Value
$30.7
PnL
-$2.3
Record
54%
164-142 (306)
Invested
$29.8
Value
$32.75
PnL
+$2.95
Record
60%
2157-1447 (3604)
Invested
$15.47
Value
$20.34
PnL
+$4.87
Record
47%
1308-1484 (2792)
Invested
$12.8
Value
$16.8
PnL
+$4
Record
62%
1374-851 (2225)
Invested
$27.6
Value
$20.27
PnL
+$5.12
Record
62%
2279-1406 (3685)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
90%
226-24 (250)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Down — $1.1K
uninformedfloww
Down — $809.63
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $531
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $500.01
CrouchPredictions
Down — $489.29
stepahead
Down — $331.63
ohioism
Down — $240
devonpoll
Down — $180
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $180