Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
37
Down 83%
$8.4K
-$108.16
Smart Money Signal
30 of 37 top traders (81%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $4.7K | $4.7K | +$4.75 | 47% 727-804 (1531) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $508.86 | $514.08 | +$5.22 | 98% 2057-41 (2098) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $506.64 | $498.09 | +$6.41 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 68.5¢ | $278.59 | $394.52 | +$115.93 | 46% 534-630 (1164) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 74.3¢ | $181.72 | $207.58 | +$25.86 | 54% 3796-3185 (6981) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 77.6¢ | $291.16 | $193.87 | -$62.52 | 57% 4432-3287 (7719) |
 gabigol | Downavg 87.6¢ | $163.82 | $183.81 | +$19.99 | 54% 158-133 (291) |
DE devonpoll | Downavg 50¢ | $180 | $180 | +$5.63 | 49% 201-206 (407) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $170.97 | $172.7 | +$1.73 | 74% 846-295 (1141) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 71¢ | $215.08 | $141.96 | +$10.62 | 53% 1174-1043 (2217) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 55.1¢ | $130.69 | $237 | +$106.31 | 53% 540-472 (1012) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 71.9¢ | $116.06 | $152.5 | +$36.44 | 49% 247-260 (507) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $75.34 | $95.52 | +$20.19 | 46% 686-795 (1481) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 76.2¢ | $69.15 | $90.79 | +$21.64 | 55% 1115-909 (2024) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $78.04 | $97.8 | +$19.76 | 51% 1380-1304 (2684) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $73.66 | $85.12 | +$11.46 | 50% 3912-3912 (7824) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $55.07 | $63.72 | +$8.77 | 60% 2054-1370 (3424) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $45.06 | $59.99 | +$14.93 | 49% 541-568 (1109) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 59.4¢ | $43.5 | $73.25 | +$29.75 | 43% 90-118 (208) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $27.09 | $35.83 | +$8.74 | 67% 1888-951 (2839) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $16.2 | $20 | +$3.8 | 47% 623-690 (1313) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $18.79 | $17.69 | -$1.1 | 46% 1064-1272 (2336) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $16.13 | $18.33 | +$2.2 | 47% 1112-1258 (2370) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $13.4 | $20.3 | +$6.9 | 62% 2140-1336 (3476) |
Invested
$4,741.27
Value
$4.7K
PnL
+$4.75
Record
47%
727-804 (1531)
Invested
$508.86
Value
$514.08
PnL
+$5.22
Record
98%
2057-41 (2098)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$506.64
Value
$498.09
PnL
+$6.41
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Invested
$278.59
Value
$394.52
PnL
+$115.93
Record
46%
534-630 (1164)
Invested
$181.72
Value
$207.58
PnL
+$25.86
Record
54%
3796-3185 (6981)
Invested
$291.16
Value
$193.87
PnL
-$62.52
Record
57%
4432-3287 (7719)
gabigolInvested
$163.82
Value
$183.81
PnL
+$19.99
Record
54%
158-133 (291)
Invested
$180
Value
$180
PnL
+$5.63
Record
49%
201-206 (407)
BoneOhioInvested
$170.97
Value
$172.7
PnL
+$1.73
Record
74%
846-295 (1141)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$215.08
Value
$141.96
PnL
+$10.62
Record
53%
1174-1043 (2217)
Invested
$130.69
Value
$237
PnL
+$106.31
Record
53%
540-472 (1012)
Invested
$116.06
Value
$152.5
PnL
+$36.44
Record
49%
247-260 (507)
Invested
$75.34
Value
$95.52
PnL
+$20.19
Record
46%
686-795 (1481)
Invested
$69.15
Value
$90.79
PnL
+$21.64
Record
55%
1115-909 (2024)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$78.04
Value
$97.8
PnL
+$19.76
Record
51%
1380-1304 (2684)
Invested
$73.66
Value
$85.12
PnL
+$11.46
Record
50%
3912-3912 (7824)
Invested
$55.07
Value
$63.72
PnL
+$8.77
Record
60%
2054-1370 (3424)
Invested
$45.06
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$14.93
Record
49%
541-568 (1109)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$43.5
Value
$73.25
PnL
+$29.75
Record
43%
90-118 (208)
Invested
$27.09
Value
$35.83
PnL
+$8.74
Record
67%
1888-951 (2839)
Invested
$16.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.8
Record
47%
623-690 (1313)
Invested
$18.79
Value
$17.69
PnL
-$1.1
Record
46%
1064-1272 (2336)
Invested
$16.13
Value
$18.33
PnL
+$2.2
Record
47%
1112-1258 (2370)
Invested
$13.4
Value
$20.3
PnL
+$6.9
Record
62%
2140-1336 (3476)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $4.7K
hoodquant
Down — $514.08
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $498.09
CrouchPredictions
Down — $394.52
stepahead
Down — $207.58
Hcrystallash
Down — $193.87
gabigol
Down — $183.81
devonpoll
Down — $180
BoneOhio
Down — $172.7