Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 73%
$2.6K
-$408.86
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 97¢ | $1.5K | $1.4K | -$109.48 | 57% 4217-3173 (7390) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 75.9¢ | $294.59 | $384.24 | +$89.65 | 50% 917-899 (1816) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 87.4¢ | $423.51 | $354.89 | -$68.62 | 45% 386-468 (854) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 98.6¢ | $176.49 | $161.38 | -$15.11 | 44% 474-605 (1079) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Upavg 44.4¢ | $177.51 | — | -$177.51 | 54% 3622-3038 (6660) |
0X 0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972 | Downavg 93¢ | $95.5 | $102.69 | +$7.19 | 32% 150-313 (463) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 89.5¢ | $101.69 | $102.2 | +$0.5 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 99.1¢ | $84.49 | $62.08 | -$22.41 | 44% 468-591 (1059) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.9¢ | $57.92 | — | -$57.92 | 48% 1202-1284 (2486) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 98.5¢ | $72.09 | $46.14 | -$25.96 | 50% 3699-3735 (7434) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $15.8 | $20 | +$4.2 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $12.29 | $13.57 | +$1.28 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $5.07 | — | -$5.07 | 54% 512-439 (951) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.3 | $5 | +$1.7 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.4¢ | $31.31 | — | -$31.31 | 49% 357-377 (734) |
Invested
$1,469.48
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$109.48
Record
57%
4217-3173 (7390)
Invested
$294.59
Value
$384.24
PnL
+$89.65
Record
50%
917-899 (1816)
Invested
$423.51
Value
$354.89
PnL
-$68.62
Record
45%
386-468 (854)
Invested
$176.49
Value
$161.38
PnL
-$15.11
Record
44%
474-605 (1079)
Invested
$177.51
Value
—
PnL
-$177.51
Record
54%
3622-3038 (6660)
Invested
$95.5
Value
$102.69
PnL
+$7.19
Record
32%
150-313 (463)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$101.69
Value
$102.2
PnL
+$0.5
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$84.49
Value
$62.08
PnL
-$22.41
Record
44%
468-591 (1059)
Invested
$57.92
Value
—
PnL
-$57.92
Record
48%
1202-1284 (2486)
Invested
$72.09
Value
$46.14
PnL
-$25.96
Record
50%
3699-3735 (7434)
Invested
$15.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.2
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
Invested
$12.29
Value
$13.57
PnL
+$1.28
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
Invested
$5.07
Value
—
PnL
-$5.07
Record
54%
512-439 (951)
Invested
$3.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.7
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Invested
$31.31
Value
—
PnL
-$31.31
Record
49%
357-377 (734)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Down — $1.4K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $384.24
CrouchPredictions
Down — $354.89
mo-money
Down — $161.38
stepahead
CTRUp — $0
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972
Down — $102.69
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $102.2
almach
Down — $62.08
38791873984189
CTRUp — $0
bosona
Down — $46.14