Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 90%
$8.2K
$199.93
Smart Money Signal
19 of 21 top traders (90%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.0K | $6.0K | +$6.01 | 59% 62529-43642 (106171) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $967.66 | $977.44 | +$9.77 | 93% 24047-1801 (25848) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 83.6¢ | $180.31 | $186.49 | +$6.18 | 54% 11149-9508 (20657) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 69.3¢ | $168.35 | $242.82 | +$74.47 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 66.1¢ | $153.21 | $178.08 | +$24.88 | 57% 10468-7849 (18317) |
 UpandDownSyndrome | Downavg 96.2¢ | $104.41 | $108.51 | +$4.1 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 66.1¢ | $61.36 | $92.83 | +$31.47 | 56% 58419-45082 (103501) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86.5¢ | $51.87 | $59.99 | +$8.12 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 70.3¢ | $45.75 | $65.08 | +$19.33 | 58% 60853-44436 (105289) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.8¢ | $20.6 | — | -$20.6 | 73% 95048-35679 (130727) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.5¢ | $36 | — | -$36 | 57% 12730-9443 (22173) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $32.4 | $40 | +$7.6 | 62% 44057-27075 (71132) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 73.2¢ | $40 | $54.63 | +$14.63 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $33.98 | $47.34 | +$13.36 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $23.6 | $32.34 | +$8.74 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $15.5 | $25 | +$9.5 | 64% 40419-23136 (63555) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 72.3¢ | $11.84 | $16.39 | +$4.55 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $14.64 | $19.08 | +$4.44 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $8.6 | $10.62 | +$2.02 | 65% 4179-2286 (6465) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $6.63 | $13 | +$6.37 | 58% 51216-37341 (88557) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $4.25 | $5.25 | +$1 | 68% 1669-769 (2438) |
Invested
$6,002
Value
$6.0K
PnL
+$6.01
Record
59%
62529-43642 (106171)
Invested
$967.66
Value
$977.44
PnL
+$9.77
Record
93%
24047-1801 (25848)
Invested
$180.31
Value
$186.49
PnL
+$6.18
Record
54%
11149-9508 (20657)
Invested
$168.35
Value
$242.82
PnL
+$74.47
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
$153.21
Value
$178.08
PnL
+$24.88
Record
57%
10468-7849 (18317)
UpandDownSyndromeInvested
$104.41
Value
$108.51
PnL
+$4.1
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
Invested
$61.36
Value
$92.83
PnL
+$31.47
Record
56%
58419-45082 (103501)
Invested
$51.87
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$8.12
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$45.75
Value
$65.08
PnL
+$19.33
Record
58%
60853-44436 (105289)
Invested
$20.6
Value
—
PnL
-$20.6
Record
73%
95048-35679 (130727)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
57%
12730-9443 (22173)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$32.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$7.6
Record
62%
44057-27075 (71132)
Invested
$40
Value
$54.63
PnL
+$14.63
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$33.98
Value
$47.34
PnL
+$13.36
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
$23.6
Value
$32.34
PnL
+$8.74
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
ohioism<$100Invested
$15.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$9.5
Record
64%
40419-23136 (63555)
Invested
$11.84
Value
$16.39
PnL
+$4.55
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
Invested
$14.64
Value
$19.08
PnL
+$4.44
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$8.6
Value
$10.62
PnL
+$2.02
Record
65%
4179-2286 (6465)
Invested
$6.63
Value
$13
PnL
+$6.37
Record
58%
51216-37341 (88557)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$1
Record
68%
1669-769 (2438)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.0K
hoodquant
Down — $977.44
thesidehustle
Down — $186.49
uninformedfloww
Down — $242.82
trdyugiolkw
Down — $178.08
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $108.51
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $92.83
aaa221
Down — $59.99
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $65.08
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRUp — $0