Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 53%
5 arb excluded
$1.4K
-$189.62
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 54.6¢ | $394.59 | $455.29 | +$60.7 | 57% 10468-7849 (18317) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Downavg 55.5¢ | $212.49 | — | -$212.49 | 54% 14530-12375 (26905) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR | Downavg 24.1¢ | $101.75 | — | -$101.75 | 56% 58419-45082 (103501) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 64.2¢ | $132.35 | $118.81 | -$13.53 | 54% 11149-9508 (20657) |
 BoneOhioARB<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $63.75 | $75 | +$11.25 | 74% 102879-36496 (139375) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.9¢ | $30 | — | -$30 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45¢ | $33.75 | $75 | +$41.25 | |
AS asdaefefARB<$100 | Upavg 49.1¢ | $94.95 | $109.17 | +$14.22 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.1¢ | $53.57 | $109.17 | +$55.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 60.4¢ | $41.38 | — | -$41.38 | |
 ohioismARB<$100 | Upavg 67.1¢ | $77.25 | $66.34 | -$10.91 | 64% 40419-23136 (63555) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31.3¢ | $32.75 | — | -$32.75 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 67.1¢ | $44.5 | $66.34 | +$21.84 | |
GO GoodRecipientARB<$100 | Downavg 52.8¢ | $80.17 | $79.99 | -$0.18 | 43% 634-825 (1459) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 52.8¢ | $44.18 | — | -$44.18 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45¢ | $36 | $79.99 | +$44 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 44.3¢ | $54.24 | $122.4 | +$68.16 | 58% 60853-44436 (105289) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $66.43 | $68.28 | +$1.85 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65¢ | $44.38 | $68.28 | +$23.9 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49¢ | $22.05 | — | -$22.05 | |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $44.51 | $75.5 | +$30.99 | 62% 44057-27075 (71132) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62.6¢ | $60.21 | $52.91 | -$6.48 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 93.4¢ | $77.55 | $83 | +$5.45 | 73% 95048-35679 (130727) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 52.1¢ | $33.16 | $47.16 | +$14 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $38.5 | — | -$31.74 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 55.4¢ | $17.17 | $24.67 | +$7.5 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $11.3 | — | -$11.3 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 22.7¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $5 | $9.84 | +$4.84 | 68% 1669-769 (2438) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 58% 51216-37341 (88557) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.9¢ | $14.53 | — | +$5.25 | 65% 4179-2286 (6465) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $238.59 | — | +$2.41 | 93% 24047-1801 (25848) |
Invested
$394.59
Value
$455.29
PnL
+$60.7
Record
57%
10468-7849 (18317)
Invested
$212.49
Value
—
PnL
-$212.49
Record
54%
14530-12375 (26905)
Invested
$101.75
Value
—
PnL
-$101.75
Record
56%
58419-45082 (103501)
Invested
$132.35
Value
$118.81
PnL
-$13.53
Record
54%
11149-9508 (20657)
BoneOhioARB<$100Invested
$63.75
Value
$75
PnL
+$11.25
Record
74%
102879-36496 (139375)
Both legs:
Invested
$94.95
Value
$109.17
PnL
+$14.22
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Both legs:
ohioismARB<$100Invested
$77.25
Value
$66.34
PnL
-$10.91
Record
64%
40419-23136 (63555)
Both legs:
Invested
$80.17
Value
$79.99
PnL
-$0.18
Record
43%
634-825 (1459)
Both legs:
Invested
$54.24
Value
$122.4
PnL
+$68.16
Record
58%
60853-44436 (105289)
Invested
$66.43
Value
$68.28
PnL
+$1.85
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Both legs:
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$44.51
Value
$75.5
PnL
+$30.99
Record
62%
44057-27075 (71132)
Invested
$60.21
Value
$52.91
PnL
-$6.48
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$77.55
Value
$83
PnL
+$5.45
Record
73%
95048-35679 (130727)
Invested
$33.16
Value
$47.16
PnL
+$14
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
Invested
$38.5
Value
—
PnL
-$31.74
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$17.17
Value
$24.67
PnL
+$7.5
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
Invested
$11.3
Value
—
PnL
-$11.3
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
$5
Value
$9.84
PnL
+$4.84
Record
68%
1669-769 (2438)
Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
58%
51216-37341 (88557)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$14.53
Value
—
PnL
+$5.25
Record
65%
4179-2286 (6465)
Invested
$238.59
Value
—
PnL
+$2.41
Record
93%
24047-1801 (25848)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $455.29
tmsd-test
CTRDown — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
thesidehustle
Up — $118.81
BoneOhio
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdaefef
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ohioism
ARBArbitrage — excluded
GoodRecipient
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $122.4
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded