Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 68%
$4.3K
-$149.92
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$3.49 | 59% 62520-43633 (106153) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 76.5Β’ | $414.5 | $342.61 | -$71.89 | 57% 10466-7847 (18313) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 86.5Β’ | $165.83 | $155.99 | -$9.84 | 54% 11125-9485 (20610) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 86.1Β’ | $60.3 | $70 | +$9.7 | 64% 40407-23120 (63527) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $61.56 | β | -$61.56 | 35% 18983-35988 (54971) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.8Β’ | $40.21 | $52.34 | +$12.13 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $33.75 | β | -$33.75 | 57% 12728-9441 (22169) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $34.55 | $36.76 | +$2.21 | 62% 44041-27052 (71093) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 57.5Β’ | $28.73 | $50 | +$21.27 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $16.83 | $17 | +$0.17 | 93% 24031-1800 (25831) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.8Β’ | $15.7 | $18.73 | +$3.03 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.8Β’ | $20.67 | β | -$20.67 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 42Β’ | $13.38 | β | -$13.38 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 66Β’ | $10.56 | $16 | +$5.44 | 58% 60841-44423 (105264) |
BE berlinskies<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $9.99 | $18.16 | +$8.17 | 58% 5858-4296 (10154) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $8.82 | $9.38 | +$0.56 | 65% 4171-2279 (6450) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 26Β’ | $5.2 | β | -$5.2 | 46% 461-532 (993) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 94Β’ | $4.5 | $4.79 | +$0.29 | 68% 1666-769 (2435) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.08 | β | -$0.08 | 54% 15415-13298 (28713) |
Invested
$3,484.52
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$3.49
Record
59%
62520-43633 (106153)
Invested
$414.5
Value
$342.61
PnL
-$71.89
Record
57%
10466-7847 (18313)
Invested
$165.83
Value
$155.99
PnL
-$9.84
Record
54%
11125-9485 (20610)
ohioism<$100Invested
$60.3
Value
$70
PnL
+$9.7
Record
64%
40407-23120 (63527)
Invested
$61.56
Value
β
PnL
-$61.56
Record
35%
18983-35988 (54971)
Invested
$40.21
Value
$52.34
PnL
+$12.13
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$33.75
Value
β
PnL
-$33.75
Record
57%
12728-9441 (22169)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$34.55
Value
$36.76
PnL
+$2.21
Record
62%
44041-27052 (71093)
Invested
$28.73
Value
$50
PnL
+$21.27
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
Invested
$16.83
Value
$17
PnL
+$0.17
Record
93%
24031-1800 (25831)
Invested
$15.7
Value
$18.73
PnL
+$3.03
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$20.67
Value
β
PnL
-$20.67
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
Invested
$13.38
Value
β
PnL
-$13.38
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
Invested
$10.56
Value
$16
PnL
+$5.44
Record
58%
60841-44423 (105264)
Invested
$9.99
Value
$18.16
PnL
+$8.17
Record
58%
5858-4296 (10154)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$8.82
Value
$9.38
PnL
+$0.56
Record
65%
4171-2279 (6450)
Invested
$5.2
Value
β
PnL
-$5.2
Record
46%
461-532 (993)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$4.79
PnL
+$0.29
Record
68%
1666-769 (2435)
Invested
$0.08
Value
β
PnL
-$0.08
Record
54%
15415-13298 (28713)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up β $3.5K
trdyugiolkw
Up β $342.61
thesidehustle
Up β $155.99

ohioism
Up β $70
Little-big
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
Up β $52.34

wowitsamazing
CTRDown β $0

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $36.76
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $50
hoodquant
Up β $17