Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 78%
1 arb excluded
$6.0K
$161.84
Smart Money Signal
14 of 18 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $4.7K | $4.7K | +$4.72 | 59% 62520-43633 (106153) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 79¢ | $473 | $525.39 | +$52.39 | 57% 10466-7847 (18313) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 87.2¢ | $181.94 | $186.17 | +$4.23 | 54% 11125-9485 (20610) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 56.2¢ | $121.32 | $215.93 | +$94.61 | 35% 18983-35988 (54971) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $85.44 | $50 | -$35.44 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 41¢ | $59.44 | — | -$59.44 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 52¢ | $26 | $50 | +$24 | |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $40 | $40 | +$0 | 62% 44041-27052 (71093) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $43.5 | $73.72 | +$30.22 | 57% 12728-9441 (22169) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $35.2 | $40 | +$4.8 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 82.4¢ | $27.94 | $33.92 | +$5.98 | 74% 102858-36493 (139351) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $23.57 | — | -$23.57 | 56% 8168-6307 (14475) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93.8¢ | $19.21 | $20.47 | +$1.26 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82.7¢ | $19.22 | $23.25 | +$4.03 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 81.1¢ | $14.12 | $17.41 | +$3.29 | 61% 95474-60238 (155712) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $10.76 | $10.56 | -$0.2 | 65% 4171-2279 (6450) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 84.8¢ | $11.07 | $13.06 | +$1.99 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.2¢ | $18.04 | — | -$18.04 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $3.75 | — | -$3.75 | 58% 60841-44423 (105264) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 93% 24031-1800 (25831) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
Invested
$4,713.29
Value
$4.7K
PnL
+$4.72
Record
59%
62520-43633 (106153)
Invested
$473
Value
$525.39
PnL
+$52.39
Record
57%
10466-7847 (18313)
Invested
$181.94
Value
$186.17
PnL
+$4.23
Record
54%
11125-9485 (20610)
Invested
$121.32
Value
$215.93
PnL
+$94.61
Record
35%
18983-35988 (54971)
Invested
$85.44
Value
$50
PnL
-$35.44
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
Both legs:
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$40
Value
$40
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
44041-27052 (71093)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$43.5
Value
$73.72
PnL
+$30.22
Record
57%
12728-9441 (22169)
Invested
$35.2
Value
$40
PnL
+$4.8
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$27.94
Value
$33.92
PnL
+$5.98
Record
74%
102858-36493 (139351)
Invested
$23.57
Value
—
PnL
-$23.57
Record
56%
8168-6307 (14475)
Invested
$19.21
Value
$20.47
PnL
+$1.26
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
Invested
$19.22
Value
$23.25
PnL
+$4.03
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
Invested
$14.12
Value
$17.41
PnL
+$3.29
Record
61%
95474-60238 (155712)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$10.76
Value
$10.56
PnL
-$0.2
Record
65%
4171-2279 (6450)
Invested
$11.07
Value
$13.06
PnL
+$1.99
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$18.04
Value
—
PnL
-$18.04
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
Invested
$3.75
Value
—
PnL
-$3.75
Record
58%
60841-44423 (105264)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
24031-1800 (25831)
Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $4.7K
trdyugiolkw
Up — $525.39
thesidehustle
Up — $186.17
Little-big
Up — $215.93
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $40
wowitsamazing
Up — $73.72
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $40
BoneOhio
Up — $33.92
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0