Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$38.61

Smart Money Signal

Down

15 of 20 top traders (75%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down15 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,176

Combined PnL+$42.2

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares399

Combined PnL-$80.81

Down — 75%Up — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TR trdyugiolkw	Downavg 70.4¢	$702.49	$730.86	+$28.37	57% 10466-7847 (18313)
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 79¢	$275.74	$268.57	-$7.17	54% 11125-9485 (20610)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 70.5¢	$64.67	$61	-$3.67	56% 58403-45070 (103473)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 77.9¢	$45.57	$52.57	+$9.69	64% 24226-13368 (37594)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 51¢	$16.32	$32	+$15.68	58% 51198-37322 (88520)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 74.9¢	$31.64	$30.94	-$0.7	52% 90910-85451 (176361)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 9.8¢	$19.39	—	-$19.39	63% 52240-31232 (83472)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100	Upavg 30.3¢	$45.5	—	-$45.5	73% 95047-35677 (130724)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Upavg 18.7¢	$6.72	—	-$6.72	46% 461-532 (993)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 57.9¢	$9.2	—	-$9.2	55% 18125-14708 (32833)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 69.5¢	—	—	+$0	58% 38225-27367 (65592)
Atomforge<$100	Downavg 77.8¢	—	—	+$0	65% 4171-2279 (6450)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98.7¢	—	—	+$0	93% 24031-1800 (25831)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	—	—	+$0	65% 125846-67348 (193194)
RL RLWG<$100	Downavg 69.6¢	—	—	+$0	50% 7913-7939 (15852)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 61¢	—	—	+$0	64% 40407-23120 (63527)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 76.5¢	—	—	+$0	66% 126575-65169 (191744)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 76.8¢	—	—	+$0	62% 44041-27052 (71093)
AS asabovesobelow2<$100	Downavg 79.5¢	—	—	+$0	68% 1666-769 (2435)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 78.5¢	—	—	+$0	58% 60841-44423 (105264)