Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Up 78%
$1.0K
$99.11
Smart Money Signal
14 of 18 top traders (78%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 78.1Β’ | $582.58 | $603.56 | +$20.98 | 57% 10464-7844 (18308) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 67.4Β’ | $44.5 | $66.03 | +$21.53 | 58% 60824-44408 (105232) |
CR CrouchPredictions<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $32.33 | $60.99 | +$28.67 | 56% 14719-11585 (26304) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74.8Β’ | $44.86 | $60 | +$15.13 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 53.9Β’ | $29.9 | $55.5 | +$25.6 | 56% 58383-45054 (103437) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 50.9Β’ | $28 | $45.8 | +$17.8 | 64% 40387-23103 (63490) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $32.4 | $40.5 | +$8.1 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 67.3Β’ | $18.73 | $27.83 | +$9.1 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $23.25 | $25 | +$1.75 | 74% 102835-36488 (139323) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 93.4Β’ | $21.21 | $22.71 | +$1.5 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $8.6 | $10.75 | +$2.15 | 65% 4158-2273 (6431) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.1Β’ | $26.16 | β | -$26.16 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 58Β’ | $3.2 | $5.52 | +$2.32 | 55% 18106-14696 (32802) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $4.25 | $5.31 | +$1.06 | 68% 1663-766 (2429) |
IM imoore-40CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $4.9 | β | -$4.9 | 77% 83-25 (108) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 93% 24008-1800 (25808) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $14.7 | β | -$14.7 | 58% 51183-37311 (88494) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $10.87 | β | -$10.87 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
Invested
$582.58
Value
$603.56
PnL
+$20.98
Record
57%
10464-7844 (18308)
Invested
$44.5
Value
$66.03
PnL
+$21.53
Record
58%
60824-44408 (105232)
Invested
$32.33
Value
$60.99
PnL
+$28.67
Record
56%
14719-11585 (26304)
Invested
$44.86
Value
$60
PnL
+$15.13
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
Invested
$29.9
Value
$55.5
PnL
+$25.6
Record
56%
58383-45054 (103437)
ohioism<$100Invested
$28
Value
$45.8
PnL
+$17.8
Record
64%
40387-23103 (63490)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$32.4
Value
$40.5
PnL
+$8.1
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$18.73
Value
$27.83
PnL
+$9.1
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$23.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.75
Record
74%
102835-36488 (139323)
Invested
$21.21
Value
$22.71
PnL
+$1.5
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$8.6
Value
$10.75
PnL
+$2.15
Record
65%
4158-2273 (6431)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$26.16
Value
β
PnL
-$26.16
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
Invested
$3.2
Value
$5.52
PnL
+$2.32
Record
55%
18106-14696 (32802)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5.31
PnL
+$1.06
Record
68%
1663-766 (2429)
Invested
$4.9
Value
β
PnL
-$4.9
Record
77%
83-25 (108)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
24008-1800 (25808)
Invested
$14.7
Value
β
PnL
-$14.7
Record
58%
51183-37311 (88494)
Invested
$10.87
Value
β
PnL
-$10.87
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up β $603.56
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $66.03
CrouchPredictions
Up β $60.99
aaa221
Up β $60
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $55.5

ohioism
Up β $45.8

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $40.5
asdaefef
Up β $27.83

BoneOhio
Up β $25
dvasdkasodk
Up β $22.71