Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 61%
$2.7K
-$137.35
Smart Money Signal
14 of 23 top traders (61%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 76.1¢ | $919.08 | $909.1 | -$9.99 | 57% 10457-7842 (18299) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 76.4¢ | $930.24 | $897.72 | -$32.52 | 56% 14697-11576 (26273) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $337.53 | $340.94 | +$3.41 | 93% 23988-1799 (25787) |
DE devonpoll | Upavg 75.2¢ | $101.55 | $135.12 | +$33.57 | 51% 20252-19386 (39638) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $65.8 | $74.5 | +$8.7 | 74% 102820-36477 (139297) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 60.4¢ | $47.78 | $68.71 | +$20.93 | 62% 43999-27015 (71014) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 74.2¢ | $79.05 | $66.77 | -$12.28 | 56% 58367-45027 (103394) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $42.16 | $54.76 | +$12.6 | 64% 24117-13303 (37420) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 70.5¢ | $40.64 | $43.22 | +$2.58 | 66% 126492-65134 (191626) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $91.4 | — | -$91.4 | 64% 40361-23086 (63447) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $27.36 | $57 | +$29.64 | 56% 8145-6288 (14433) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 76.2¢ | $29.35 | $29 | -$0.35 | 55% 45485-37868 (83353) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $18.36 | — | -$18.36 | 58% 51165-37295 (88460) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 64.1¢ | $14.5 | $14 | -$0.5 | 52% 90849-85392 (176241) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 67.1¢ | $8.8 | $10.44 | +$1.64 | 65% 4152-2267 (6419) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.5¢ | $22.4 | — | -$22.4 | 44% 631-818 (1449) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 66.4¢ | $3.5 | $5.27 | +$1.77 | 69% 1661-759 (2420) |
IM imoore-40CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 77% 77-23 (100) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.5¢ | $16.15 | — | -$16.15 | 63% 52202-31146 (83348) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $26.65 | — | -$26.65 | 58% 38177-27343 (65520) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.3¢ | $14.5 | — | -$14.5 | 50% 7902-7934 (15836) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 55% 18070-14671 (32741) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112351-59029 (171380) |
Invested
$919.08
Value
$909.1
PnL
-$9.99
Record
57%
10457-7842 (18299)
Invested
$930.24
Value
$897.72
PnL
-$32.52
Record
56%
14697-11576 (26273)
Invested
$337.53
Value
$340.94
PnL
+$3.41
Record
93%
23988-1799 (25787)
Invested
$101.55
Value
$135.12
PnL
+$33.57
Record
51%
20252-19386 (39638)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$65.8
Value
$74.5
PnL
+$8.7
Record
74%
102820-36477 (139297)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$47.78
Value
$68.71
PnL
+$20.93
Record
62%
43999-27015 (71014)
Invested
$79.05
Value
$66.77
PnL
-$12.28
Record
56%
58367-45027 (103394)
Invested
$42.16
Value
$54.76
PnL
+$12.6
Record
64%
24117-13303 (37420)
Invested
$40.64
Value
$43.22
PnL
+$2.58
Record
66%
126492-65134 (191626)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$91.4
Value
—
PnL
-$91.4
Record
64%
40361-23086 (63447)
Invested
$27.36
Value
$57
PnL
+$29.64
Record
56%
8145-6288 (14433)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$29.35
Value
$29
PnL
-$0.35
Record
55%
45485-37868 (83353)
Invested
$18.36
Value
—
PnL
-$18.36
Record
58%
51165-37295 (88460)
Invested
$14.5
Value
$14
PnL
-$0.5
Record
52%
90849-85392 (176241)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$8.8
Value
$10.44
PnL
+$1.64
Record
65%
4152-2267 (6419)
Invested
$22.4
Value
—
PnL
-$22.4
Record
44%
631-818 (1449)
Invested
$3.5
Value
$5.27
PnL
+$1.77
Record
69%
1661-759 (2420)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
77%
77-23 (100)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$16.15
Value
—
PnL
-$16.15
Record
63%
52202-31146 (83348)
Invested
$26.65
Value
—
PnL
-$26.65
Record
58%
38177-27343 (65520)
Invested
$14.5
Value
—
PnL
-$14.5
Record
50%
7902-7934 (15836)
Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
55%
18070-14671 (32741)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112351-59029 (171380)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $909.1
CrouchPredictions
Up — $897.72
hoodquant
Up — $340.94
devonpoll
Up — $135.12
BoneOhio
Up — $74.5
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $68.71
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $66.77
aaa221
Up — $54.76
asdaefef
Up — $43.22
ohioism
CTRDown — $0