Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 76%
$3.8K
$176.8
Smart Money Signal
16 of 21 top traders (76%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$18.67 | 93% 23963-1799 (25762) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 82.6¢ | $887.82 | $991.53 | +$103.71 | 56% 14686-11561 (26247) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 88.9¢ | $844.52 | $840.21 | -$4.32 | 57% 10453-7836 (18289) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 54.8¢ | $45.76 | $83.47 | +$37.71 | 57% 12718-9428 (22146) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 82.1¢ | $65.8 | $77.45 | +$11.64 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $72.72 | $93.16 | +$20.44 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87.9¢ | $48.99 | $55 | +$6.01 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93.5¢ | $73.14 | $27.38 | -$2.57 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $21.45 | $27.43 | +$5.98 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 65.3¢ | $22.03 | $33.76 | +$11.73 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $18.62 | $14.42 | -$4.2 | 74% 102799-36473 (139272) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $28.88 | — | -$28.88 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $16.89 | $19.9 | +$3.01 | 65% 4143-2256 (6399) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 75.6¢ | $11.6 | $15.35 | +$3.75 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 68.4¢ | $8.58 | $12.54 | +$3.96 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $8.5 | $9.95 | +$1.45 | 69% 1657-757 (2414) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $6.72 | — | -$6.72 | 58% 51142-37272 (88414) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 52.2¢ | $6.83 | $13.09 | +$6.26 | 58% 38145-27331 (65476) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.5¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 44% 629-814 (1443) |
IM imoore-40CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 77% 72-22 (94) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 66% 112343-59004 (171347) |
Invested
$1,514.76
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$18.67
Record
93%
23963-1799 (25762)
Invested
$887.82
Value
$991.53
PnL
+$103.71
Record
56%
14686-11561 (26247)
Invested
$844.52
Value
$840.21
PnL
-$4.32
Record
57%
10453-7836 (18289)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$45.76
Value
$83.47
PnL
+$37.71
Record
57%
12718-9428 (22146)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$65.8
Value
$77.45
PnL
+$11.64
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
Invested
$72.72
Value
$93.16
PnL
+$20.44
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$48.99
Value
$55
PnL
+$6.01
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
$73.14
Value
$27.38
PnL
-$2.57
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$21.45
Value
$27.43
PnL
+$5.98
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
Invested
$22.03
Value
$33.76
PnL
+$11.73
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$18.62
Value
$14.42
PnL
-$4.2
Record
74%
102799-36473 (139272)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$28.88
Value
—
PnL
-$28.88
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$16.89
Value
$19.9
PnL
+$3.01
Record
65%
4143-2256 (6399)
Invested
$11.6
Value
$15.35
PnL
+$3.75
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$8.58
Value
$12.54
PnL
+$3.96
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$9.95
PnL
+$1.45
Record
69%
1657-757 (2414)
Invested
$6.72
Value
—
PnL
-$6.72
Record
58%
51142-37272 (88414)
Invested
$6.83
Value
$13.09
PnL
+$6.26
Record
58%
38145-27331 (65476)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
44%
629-814 (1443)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
77%
72-22 (94)
Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
66%
112343-59004 (171347)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.5K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $991.53
trdyugiolkw
Up — $840.21

wowitsamazing
Up — $83.47

G-Penis-Monster
Up — $77.45
devonpoll
Up — $93.16

MayorMamdani
Up — $55
aaa221
Up — $27.38
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $27.43
asdaefef
Up — $33.76