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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

23

Up 68%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

$369.71

Smart Money Signal

Up

16 of 23 top traders (70%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up16 traders
Total Value$2.9K
Total Shares2,885
Combined PnL+$444.97
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares281
Combined PnL-$75.25
Up — 70%Down — 30%
TR
trdyugiolkw
Up

Invested

$911

Value

$842.16

PnL

-$68.84

Record

57%

10453-7836 (18289)

UN
uninformedfloww
Up

Invested

$432.19

Value

$636.57

PnL

+$204.38

Record

57%

71206-54306 (125512)

CR
CrouchPredictions
Up

Invested

$418.39

Value

$578.75

PnL

+$160.36

Record

56%

14686-11561 (26247)

PE
peepeepoopoo24
Up

Invested

$204.73

Value

$211.2

PnL

+$6.47

Record

58%

6757-4993 (11750)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$207.9

Value

$210

PnL

+$2.1

Record

93%

23963-1799 (25762)

MayorMamdaniARB<$100
Up

Invested

$106.92

Value

$121

PnL

+$14.08

Record

55%

45436-37823 (83259)

Both legs:

Up$78.4264.8¢+$42.58
Down$28.545.1¢-$28.5
AS
aswfadq1555ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$77.33

Value

$53.8

PnL

-$23.53

Record

54%

15410-13289 (28699)

Both legs:

Down$49.6439.9¢-$49.64
Up$27.6851.5¢+$26.12
DE
devonpoll
Up

Invested

$80.85

Value

$137.46

PnL

+$59.11

Record

51%

20241-19372 (39613)

0X
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100
Up

Invested

$36.8

Value

$64

PnL

+$27.2

Record

73%

95045-35671 (130716)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$42.76

Value

$53

PnL

+$10.24

Record

56%

58346-45004 (103350)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$49.15

Value

$65.53

PnL

+$16.38

Record

64%

40342-23071 (63413)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$15.2

Value

$20

PnL

+$4.8

Record

62%

43985-26997 (70982)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$16.79

Value

$28.39

PnL

+$11.6

Record

66%

126437-65111 (191548)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$64.04

Value

—

PnL

-$36.03

Record

64%

24039-13275 (37314)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$10.71

Value

$20.21

PnL

+$9.5

Record

58%

38145-27331 (65476)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$9.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.2

Record

52%

90814-85344 (176158)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.04

Value

—

PnL

-$5.04

Record

58%

60787-44362 (105149)

IM
imoore-40CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

—

PnL

-$4.9

Record

77%

72-22 (94)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$18.38

Value

—

PnL

-$18.38

Record

63%

52187-31091 (83278)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.85

Value

—

PnL

-$9.85

Record

55%

18044-14641 (32685)

Atomforge<$100
Up

Invested

$4.2

Value

$5.19

PnL

+$0.99

Record

65%

4143-2256 (6399)

AS
asabovesobelow2<$100
Up

Invested

$2

Value

$2.38

PnL

+$0.38

Record

69%

1657-757 (2414)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.01

Value

—

PnL

-$1.01

Record

58%

51142-37272 (88414)

TM
tmsd-test<$100
Up

Invested

$0.21

Value

$0.3

PnL

+$0.1

Record

54%

14514-12353 (26867)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

66%

112343-59004 (171347)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x523de4c8...05355e
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1793459700

Traders in this Market

TR

trdyugiolkw

Up — $842.16

-$68.84
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $636.57

+$204.38
CR

CrouchPredictions

Up — $578.75

+$160.36
PE

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $211.2

+$6.47
HO

hoodquant

Up — $210

+$2.1

MayorMamdani

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$14.08
AS

aswfadq1555

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$23.53
DE

devonpoll

Up — $137.46

+$59.11
0X

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Up — $64

+$27.2
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $53

+$10.24
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