Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 88%
$2.7K
$509.8
Smart Money Signal
21 of 25 top traders (84%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 72¢ | $540.58 | $605.91 | +$65.33 | 56% 14686-11561 (26247) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 70.6¢ | $438.12 | $484.61 | +$46.49 | 57% 10453-7836 (18289) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 67.4¢ | $334.27 | $496 | +$161.73 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 75.9¢ | $141.47 | $140.81 | -$0.66 | 54% 11100-9462 (20562) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 65.9¢ | $122.61 | $149.86 | +$27.25 | 54% 15410-13289 (28699) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 54.2¢ | $106.87 | $197 | +$90.13 | 35% 18950-35949 (54899) |
RL RLWG | Downavg 67.6¢ | $73.08 | $108.18 | +$35.1 | 50% 7900-7930 (15830) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 71.3¢ | $75.45 | $70 | -$5.45 | 64% 58692-33276 (91968) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87.5¢ | $71.13 | $58.39 | -$1.73 | 64% 24039-13275 (37314) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 60.5¢ | $53.84 | $89 | +$35.16 | 58% 38145-27331 (65476) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $32.99 | $43.63 | +$10.64 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $41.25 | $75 | +$33.75 | 57% 12718-9428 (22146) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $30.4 | $40 | +$9.6 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $26.75 | $25.37 | -$1.38 | 56% 58346-45004 (103350) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 56.7¢ | $23.82 | $42 | +$18.18 | 56% 8126-6271 (14397) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $20.08 | $20.1 | +$0.02 | 59% 62464-43615 (106079) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $11.45 | $15.43 | +$3.98 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $12.08 | $14.05 | +$1.97 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.5¢ | $16.69 | — | -$16.69 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $8.1 | $10.52 | +$2.42 | 65% 4143-2256 (6399) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $6.75 | — | -$6.75 | 58% 60787-44362 (105149) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $8.05 | $10 | +$1.95 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $4 | $5.19 | +$1.19 | 69% 1657-757 (2414) |
IM imoore-40CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 77% 72-22 (94) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20241-19372 (39613) |
Invested
$540.58
Value
$605.91
PnL
+$65.33
Record
56%
14686-11561 (26247)
Invested
$438.12
Value
$484.61
PnL
+$46.49
Record
57%
10453-7836 (18289)
Invested
$334.27
Value
$496
PnL
+$161.73
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$141.47
Value
$140.81
PnL
-$0.66
Record
54%
11100-9462 (20562)
Invested
$122.61
Value
$149.86
PnL
+$27.25
Record
54%
15410-13289 (28699)
Invested
$106.87
Value
$197
PnL
+$90.13
Record
35%
18950-35949 (54899)
Invested
$73.08
Value
$108.18
PnL
+$35.1
Record
50%
7900-7930 (15830)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$75.45
Value
$70
PnL
-$5.45
Record
64%
58692-33276 (91968)
Invested
$71.13
Value
$58.39
PnL
-$1.73
Record
64%
24039-13275 (37314)
Invested
$53.84
Value
$89
PnL
+$35.16
Record
58%
38145-27331 (65476)
Invested
$32.99
Value
$43.63
PnL
+$10.64
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$41.25
Value
$75
PnL
+$33.75
Record
57%
12718-9428 (22146)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$30.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$9.6
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
Invested
$26.75
Value
$25.37
PnL
-$1.38
Record
56%
58346-45004 (103350)
Invested
$23.82
Value
$42
PnL
+$18.18
Record
56%
8126-6271 (14397)
Invested
$20.08
Value
$20.1
PnL
+$0.02
Record
59%
62464-43615 (106079)
Invested
$11.45
Value
$15.43
PnL
+$3.98
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$12.08
Value
$14.05
PnL
+$1.97
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$16.69
Value
—
PnL
-$16.69
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$8.1
Value
$10.52
PnL
+$2.42
Record
65%
4143-2256 (6399)
Invested
$6.75
Value
—
PnL
-$6.75
Record
58%
60787-44362 (105149)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.05
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.95
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
Invested
$4
Value
$5.19
PnL
+$1.19
Record
69%
1657-757 (2414)
Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
77%
72-22 (94)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20241-19372 (39613)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $605.91
trdyugiolkw
Down — $484.61
uninformedfloww
Down — $496
thesidehustle
Down — $140.81
aswfadq1555
Down — $149.86
Little-big
Down — $197
RLWG
Down — $108.18
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $70
aaa221
Down — $58.39
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $89