Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 71%
$5.7K
$936.03
Smart Money Signal
16 of 22 top traders (73%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$17.2 | 93% 23943-1796 (25739) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 75.3¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$36.13 | 56% 14669-11554 (26223) |
RL RLWG | Upavg 44.7¢ | $674.5 | $1.5K | +$835.5 | 50% 7896-7923 (15819) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 60.2¢ | $515.16 | $528.15 | +$12.99 | 57% 10449-7833 (18282) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 83.4¢ | $286.34 | $284.89 | +$4.43 | 64% 58688-33274 (91962) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 86.2¢ | $357.35 | $379.48 | +$22.12 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 66.7¢ | $144.04 | $161 | +$16.96 | 54% 11081-9455 (20536) |
 ohioism | Upavg 46.8¢ | $72.25 | $154.22 | +$81.97 | 64% 40317-23061 (63378) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $46.47 | $86.42 | +$39.95 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 83.1¢ | $77.17 | $71.65 | -$5.52 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 81.7¢ | $36.11 | $39.47 | +$3.36 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.8¢ | $28.51 | — | -$28.51 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 55.2¢ | $81.74 | — | -$63.73 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.5¢ | $48.44 | — | -$48.44 | 44% 628-814 (1442) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 44.5¢ | $14.47 | $26.8 | +$12.32 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $14.4 | $20 | +$5.6 | 58% 60765-44349 (105114) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $7.26 | $7.27 | +$0.01 | 59% 62455-43604 (106059) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 46% 456-526 (982) |
IM imoore-40<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 76% 67-21 (88) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 56% 58323-44993 (103316) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $0.67 | — | -$0.67 | 54% 14512-12347 (26859) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20230-19367 (39597) |
Invested
$1,229.79
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$17.2
Record
93%
23943-1796 (25739)
Invested
$1,142
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$36.13
Record
56%
14669-11554 (26223)
Invested
$674.5
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$835.5
Record
50%
7896-7923 (15819)
Invested
$515.16
Value
$528.15
PnL
+$12.99
Record
57%
10449-7833 (18282)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$286.34
Value
$284.89
PnL
+$4.43
Record
64%
58688-33274 (91962)
Invested
$357.35
Value
$379.48
PnL
+$22.12
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
Invested
$144.04
Value
$161
PnL
+$16.96
Record
54%
11081-9455 (20536)
ohioismInvested
$72.25
Value
$154.22
PnL
+$81.97
Record
64%
40317-23061 (63378)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$46.47
Value
$86.42
PnL
+$39.95
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
Invested
$77.17
Value
$71.65
PnL
-$5.52
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
Invested
$36.11
Value
$39.47
PnL
+$3.36
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$28.51
Value
—
PnL
-$28.51
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
Invested
$81.74
Value
—
PnL
-$63.73
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
Invested
$48.44
Value
—
PnL
-$48.44
Record
44%
628-814 (1442)
Invested
$14.47
Value
$26.8
PnL
+$12.32
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Invested
$14.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.6
Record
58%
60765-44349 (105114)
Invested
$7.26
Value
$7.27
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
62455-43604 (106059)
Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
46%
456-526 (982)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
76%
67-21 (88)
Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
56%
58323-44993 (103316)
Invested
$0.67
Value
—
PnL
-$0.67
Record
54%
14512-12347 (26859)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20230-19367 (39597)
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