Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Up 79%
$6.1K
$286.49
Smart Money Signal
24 of 30 top traders (80%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 88.8¢ | $2.0K | $2.1K | +$82.93 | 56% 14669-11554 (26223) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$13.2 | 93% 23943-1796 (25739) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 86.5¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$44.85 | 57% 10449-7833 (18282) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 89.3¢ | $338.19 | $332.19 | -$6 | 64% 58688-33274 (91962) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 82¢ | $144.05 | $151.19 | +$7.14 | 54% 11081-9455 (20536) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 70¢ | $114.1 | $163 | +$48.9 | 54% 14512-12347 (26859) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 91.4¢ | $117.56 | $121.91 | +$4.35 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $109.89 | $122 | +$12.11 | 77% 9493-2907 (12400) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 87.8¢ | $105.63 | $117 | +$11.37 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 94.7¢ | $82.52 | $82.44 | -$0.08 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 91.9¢ | $70.75 | $77.02 | +$6.27 | 69% 1651-755 (2406) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82.1¢ | $55.62 | $59.59 | +$4.63 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $50.03 | $55 | +$4.97 | 64% 40317-23061 (63378) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 55.6¢ | $41.25 | $74.26 | +$33.01 | 57% 12716-9424 (22140) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $36.39 | $39.99 | +$3.6 | 56% 58323-44993 (103316) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Upavg 68.5¢ | $32.24 | $39.99 | +$7.75 | 44% 628-814 (1442) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 58.5¢ | $35.67 | $61 | +$25.33 | 58% 38135-27322 (65457) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 73.2¢ | $23.4 | $30.48 | +$7.08 | 55% 18044-14641 (32685) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $19.6 | $21.75 | +$2.15 | 65% 4132-2253 (6385) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $9.9 | $20 | +$10.1 | 58% 51123-37260 (88383) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.2¢ | $22.97 | — | -$22.97 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $8.23 | $8.31 | +$0.08 | 74% 102693-36455 (139148) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $9.6 | $16 | +$6.4 | 58% 60765-44349 (105114) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $6.31 | $11.07 | +$4.76 | 35% 18938-35934 (54872) |
IM imoore-40CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 76% 67-21 (88) |
Invested
$1,973.13
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$82.93
Record
56%
14669-11554 (26223)
Invested
$1,306.8
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$13.2
Record
93%
23943-1796 (25739)
Invested
$1,114.05
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$44.85
Record
57%
10449-7833 (18282)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$338.19
Value
$332.19
PnL
-$6
Record
64%
58688-33274 (91962)
Invested
$144.05
Value
$151.19
PnL
+$7.14
Record
54%
11081-9455 (20536)
Invested
$114.1
Value
$163
PnL
+$48.9
Record
54%
14512-12347 (26859)
Invested
$117.56
Value
$121.91
PnL
+$4.35
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
NIULAI4Invested
$109.89
Value
$122
PnL
+$12.11
Record
77%
9493-2907 (12400)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$105.63
Value
$117
PnL
+$11.37
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
Invested
$82.52
Value
$82.44
PnL
-$0.08
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
Invested
$70.75
Value
$77.02
PnL
+$6.27
Record
69%
1651-755 (2406)
Invested
$55.62
Value
$59.59
PnL
+$4.63
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
ohioism<$100Invested
$50.03
Value
$55
PnL
+$4.97
Record
64%
40317-23061 (63378)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$41.25
Value
$74.26
PnL
+$33.01
Record
57%
12716-9424 (22140)
Invested
$36.39
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$3.6
Record
56%
58323-44993 (103316)
Invested
$32.24
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$7.75
Record
44%
628-814 (1442)
Invested
$35.67
Value
$61
PnL
+$25.33
Record
58%
38135-27322 (65457)
Invested
$23.4
Value
$30.48
PnL
+$7.08
Record
55%
18044-14641 (32685)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$19.6
Value
$21.75
PnL
+$2.15
Record
65%
4132-2253 (6385)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.1
Record
58%
51123-37260 (88383)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$22.97
Value
—
PnL
-$22.97
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$8.23
Value
$8.31
PnL
+$0.08
Record
74%
102693-36455 (139148)
Invested
$9.6
Value
$16
PnL
+$6.4
Record
58%
60765-44349 (105114)
Invested
$6.31
Value
$11.07
PnL
+$4.76
Record
35%
18938-35934 (54872)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
76%
67-21 (88)
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