Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 81%
$2.6K
$393.6
Smart Money Signal
17 of 21 top traders (81%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 60.7¢ | $471.08 | $683.11 | +$212.03 | 56% 14626-11513 (26139) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 68.5¢ | $595.65 | $621.46 | +$25.81 | 57% 10437-7825 (18262) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 73.2¢ | $557.4 | $539.97 | -$17.43 | 64% 58661-33254 (91915) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 70.1¢ | $163.16 | $160.08 | -$3.08 | 54% 11047-9434 (20481) |
 ohioism | Upavg 50¢ | $81.75 | $150 | +$68.25 | 64% 40280-23040 (63320) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $73.13 | $84.23 | +$11.1 | 73% 95038-35663 (130701) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 68.9¢ | $62.28 | $90.33 | +$28.05 | 51% 20209-19351 (39560) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81.2¢ | $68.5 | $68.2 | +$1.28 | 64% 23872-13164 (37036) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $32 | $64 | +$32 | 57% 8090-6223 (14313) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $26 | $40 | +$14 | 44% 623-807 (1430) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 70.1¢ | $21.54 | $30.71 | +$9.17 | 66% 126299-65048 (191347) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $17.6 | $40.93 | +$23.33 | 56% 58279-44978 (103257) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 76.8¢ | $19.16 | $24.95 | +$5.79 | 61% 95344-60180 (155524) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $15.75 | $20 | +$4.25 | 55% 45212-37592 (82804) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 71.2¢ | $10.48 | $14.72 | +$4.24 | 52% 90722-85259 (175981) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $7.35 | — | -$7.35 | 50% 7893-7920 (15813) |
IM imoore-40CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 75% 62-21 (83) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 93% 23898-1792 (25690) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.5¢ | $10.4 | — | -$10.4 | 63% 52135-30979 (83114) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 58% 51093-37229 (88322) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.5 | $5 | +$2.5 | 62% 43941-26959 (70900) |
Invested
$471.08
Value
$683.11
PnL
+$212.03
Record
56%
14626-11513 (26139)
Invested
$595.65
Value
$621.46
PnL
+$25.81
Record
57%
10437-7825 (18262)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$557.4
Value
$539.97
PnL
-$17.43
Record
64%
58661-33254 (91915)
Invested
$163.16
Value
$160.08
PnL
-$3.08
Record
54%
11047-9434 (20481)
ohioismInvested
$81.75
Value
$150
PnL
+$68.25
Record
64%
40280-23040 (63320)
Invested
$73.13
Value
$84.23
PnL
+$11.1
Record
73%
95038-35663 (130701)
Invested
$62.28
Value
$90.33
PnL
+$28.05
Record
51%
20209-19351 (39560)
Invested
$68.5
Value
$68.2
PnL
+$1.28
Record
64%
23872-13164 (37036)
Invested
$32
Value
$64
PnL
+$32
Record
57%
8090-6223 (14313)
Invested
$26
Value
$40
PnL
+$14
Record
44%
623-807 (1430)
Invested
$21.54
Value
$30.71
PnL
+$9.17
Record
66%
126299-65048 (191347)
Invested
$17.6
Value
$40.93
PnL
+$23.33
Record
56%
58279-44978 (103257)
Invested
$19.16
Value
$24.95
PnL
+$5.79
Record
61%
95344-60180 (155524)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15.75
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.25
Record
55%
45212-37592 (82804)
Invested
$10.48
Value
$14.72
PnL
+$4.24
Record
52%
90722-85259 (175981)
Invested
$7.35
Value
—
PnL
-$7.35
Record
50%
7893-7920 (15813)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
75%
62-21 (83)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
23898-1792 (25690)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$10.4
Value
—
PnL
-$10.4
Record
63%
52135-30979 (83114)
Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
58%
51093-37229 (88322)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.5
Record
62%
43941-26959 (70900)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $683.11
trdyugiolkw
Up — $621.46
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $539.97
thesidehustle
Up — $160.08
ohioism
Up — $150
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Up — $84.23
devonpoll
Up — $90.33
aaa221
Up — $68.2
wzbbb
Up — $64
GoodRecipient
Up — $40