Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 86%
$2.5K
$3.76
Smart Money Signal
18 of 21 top traders (86%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 82.4¢ | $947.34 | $919.84 | -$27.5 | 56% 14626-11513 (26139) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 83.3¢ | $591.56 | $599.38 | +$7.82 | 57% 10437-7825 (18262) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 90.4¢ | $378.5 | $291.76 | -$1.68 | 64% 58661-33254 (91915) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 82.6¢ | $179.94 | $185.08 | +$5.13 | 54% 11047-9434 (20481) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.3¢ | $171.01 | $173.98 | +$2.97 | 93% 23898-1792 (25690) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $77.11 | $57.83 | -$2.94 | 64% 23872-13164 (37036) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $36 | $45 | +$9 | 51% 20209-19351 (39560) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $24.07 | $26.73 | +$2.66 | 61% 95344-60180 (155524) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $26 | $26.19 | +$0.19 | 52% 90722-85259 (175981) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 78.3¢ | $24.54 | $31.36 | +$6.82 | 58% 60731-44338 (105069) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $26.4 | $40 | +$13.6 | 58% 38095-27304 (65399) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 83.1¢ | $14.12 | $17 | +$2.88 | 55% 45212-37592 (82804) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $13.77 | — | -$13.77 | 58% 51093-37229 (88322) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $16.75 | $25 | +$8.25 | 64% 40280-23040 (63320) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $17.5 | $25 | +$7.5 | 62% 43941-26959 (70900) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.5¢ | $15.3 | — | -$15.3 | 44% 623-807 (1430) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $7.75 | $11.37 | +$3.62 | 66% 126299-65048 (191347) |
IM imoore-40<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 75% 62-21 (83) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $4.5 | $6.34 | +$1.84 | 65% 4112-2241 (6353) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $2.25 | $3.17 | +$0.92 | 69% 1646-749 (2395) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.8¢ | $8.34 | — | -$8.34 | 63% 52135-30979 (83114) |
Invested
$947.34
Value
$919.84
PnL
-$27.5
Record
56%
14626-11513 (26139)
Invested
$591.56
Value
$599.38
PnL
+$7.82
Record
57%
10437-7825 (18262)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$378.5
Value
$291.76
PnL
-$1.68
Record
64%
58661-33254 (91915)
Invested
$179.94
Value
$185.08
PnL
+$5.13
Record
54%
11047-9434 (20481)
Invested
$171.01
Value
$173.98
PnL
+$2.97
Record
93%
23898-1792 (25690)
Invested
$77.11
Value
$57.83
PnL
-$2.94
Record
64%
23872-13164 (37036)
Invested
$36
Value
$45
PnL
+$9
Record
51%
20209-19351 (39560)
Invested
$24.07
Value
$26.73
PnL
+$2.66
Record
61%
95344-60180 (155524)
Invested
$26
Value
$26.19
PnL
+$0.19
Record
52%
90722-85259 (175981)
Invested
$24.54
Value
$31.36
PnL
+$6.82
Record
58%
60731-44338 (105069)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$13.6
Record
58%
38095-27304 (65399)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.12
Value
$17
PnL
+$2.88
Record
55%
45212-37592 (82804)
Invested
$13.77
Value
—
PnL
-$13.77
Record
58%
51093-37229 (88322)
ohioism<$100Invested
$16.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$8.25
Record
64%
40280-23040 (63320)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$17.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.5
Record
62%
43941-26959 (70900)
Invested
$15.3
Value
—
PnL
-$15.3
Record
44%
623-807 (1430)
Invested
$7.75
Value
$11.37
PnL
+$3.62
Record
66%
126299-65048 (191347)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
75%
62-21 (83)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$6.34
PnL
+$1.84
Record
65%
4112-2241 (6353)
Invested
$2.25
Value
$3.17
PnL
+$0.92
Record
69%
1646-749 (2395)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.34
Value
—
PnL
-$8.34
Record
63%
52135-30979 (83114)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $919.84
trdyugiolkw
Up — $599.38
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $291.76
thesidehustle
Up — $185.08
hoodquant
Up — $173.98
aaa221
Up — $57.83
devonpoll
Up — $45
asidjasiodja
Up — $26.73
dvasdkasodk
Up — $26.19
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $31.36