Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 73%
$1.3K
$19.14
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 82.7¢ | $489.57 | $507.62 | +$18.05 | 57% 10432-7822 (18254) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 87.4¢ | $476.37 | $496.45 | +$20.09 | 64% 58572-33180 (91752) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 83.2¢ | $112.53 | $124.05 | +$11.53 | 54% 11039-9419 (20458) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88.7¢ | $53.99 | $56.82 | +$3.62 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71.6¢ | $60.98 | $58.1 | -$2.88 | 66% 126252-65031 (191283) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 79.6¢ | $30.3 | $28.43 | -$1.87 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.9¢ | $31.35 | — | -$31.35 | 73% 95038-35661 (130699) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $24.5 | $51.04 | +$26.54 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97.7¢ | $20.44 | $19.7 | -$0.75 | 52% 90691-85227 (175918) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.7¢ | $15.26 | — | -$15.26 | 51% 20197-19346 (39543) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.6¢ | $8.57 | — | -$8.57 | 63% 52124-30942 (83066) |
Invested
$489.57
Value
$507.62
PnL
+$18.05
Record
57%
10432-7822 (18254)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$476.37
Value
$496.45
PnL
+$20.09
Record
64%
58572-33180 (91752)
Invested
$112.53
Value
$124.05
PnL
+$11.53
Record
54%
11039-9419 (20458)
Invested
$53.99
Value
$56.82
PnL
+$3.62
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
Invested
$60.98
Value
$58.1
PnL
-$2.88
Record
66%
126252-65031 (191283)
Invested
$30.3
Value
$28.43
PnL
-$1.87
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
Invested
$31.35
Value
—
PnL
-$31.35
Record
73%
95038-35661 (130699)
Invested
$24.5
Value
$51.04
PnL
+$26.54
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
Invested
$20.44
Value
$19.7
PnL
-$0.75
Record
52%
90691-85227 (175918)
Invested
$15.26
Value
—
PnL
-$15.26
Record
51%
20197-19346 (39543)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.57
Value
—
PnL
-$8.57
Record
63%
52124-30942 (83066)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down — $507.62
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $496.45
thesidehustle
Down — $124.05
aaa221
Down — $56.82
asdaefef
Down — $58.1
asidjasiodja
Down — $28.43
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $51.04
dvasdkasodk
Down — $19.7
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0