Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 77%
$8.1K
$85.39
Smart Money Signal
18 of 23 top traders (78%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $5.8K | $5.8K | +$5.79 | 59% 62402-43564 (105966) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 84¢ | $543.48 | $623 | +$79.52 | 55% 50645-41244 (91889) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 83.7¢ | $501.76 | $470.94 | -$30.82 | 57% 10427-7820 (18247) |
AL almach | Upavg 75.9¢ | $409.57 | $500 | +$90.43 | 55% 48556-40105 (88661) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 87.1¢ | $175.92 | $156.73 | -$1.19 | 64% 58572-33178 (91750) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $127.05 | $128.33 | +$1.28 | 93% 23850-1790 (25640) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 78.7¢ | $101.82 | $106.58 | +$4.75 | 54% 11029-9400 (20429) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.6¢ | $93.92 | — | -$93.92 | 54% 14497-12335 (26832) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $79.28 | $92.19 | +$12.91 | 66% 126202-65005 (191207) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $48.22 | $58.26 | +$10.04 | 61% 95257-60134 (155391) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $45.36 | $51.6 | +$24.64 | 64% 23759-13098 (36857) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $36.35 | $25 | -$11.35 | 43% 618-805 (1423) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 80.8¢ | $24.43 | $24.19 | -$0.24 | 52% 90652-85212 (175864) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $25 | $50 | +$25 | 65% 125573-67230 (192803) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.1¢ | $8.8 | — | -$8.8 | 47% 454-520 (974) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $22.5 | $25 | +$2.5 | 62% 43927-26950 (70877) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $12 | — | -$12 | 73% 95037-35661 (130698) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $19.25 | $25 | +$5.75 | 64% 40258-23030 (63288) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $5.76 | $6.19 | +$0.43 | 65% 4106-2235 (6341) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 58% 51074-37214 (88288) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $3 | $3.26 | +$0.26 | 69% 1645-745 (2390) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.2¢ | $14.7 | — | -$14.7 | 63% 52106-30898 (83004) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 89.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20187-19342 (39529) |
Invested
$5,782.22
Value
$5.8K
PnL
+$5.79
Record
59%
62402-43564 (105966)
Invested
$543.48
Value
$623
PnL
+$79.52
Record
55%
50645-41244 (91889)
Invested
$501.76
Value
$470.94
PnL
-$30.82
Record
57%
10427-7820 (18247)
Invested
$409.57
Value
$500
PnL
+$90.43
Record
55%
48556-40105 (88661)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$175.92
Value
$156.73
PnL
-$1.19
Record
64%
58572-33178 (91750)
Invested
$127.05
Value
$128.33
PnL
+$1.28
Record
93%
23850-1790 (25640)
Invested
$101.82
Value
$106.58
PnL
+$4.75
Record
54%
11029-9400 (20429)
Invested
$93.92
Value
—
PnL
-$93.92
Record
54%
14497-12335 (26832)
Invested
$79.28
Value
$92.19
PnL
+$12.91
Record
66%
126202-65005 (191207)
Invested
$48.22
Value
$58.26
PnL
+$10.04
Record
61%
95257-60134 (155391)
Invested
$45.36
Value
$51.6
PnL
+$24.64
Record
64%
23759-13098 (36857)
Invested
$36.35
Value
$25
PnL
-$11.35
Record
43%
618-805 (1423)
Invested
$24.43
Value
$24.19
PnL
-$0.24
Record
52%
90652-85212 (175864)
Invested
$25
Value
$50
PnL
+$25
Record
65%
125573-67230 (192803)
Invested
$8.8
Value
—
PnL
-$8.8
Record
47%
454-520 (974)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$22.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.5
Record
62%
43927-26950 (70877)
Invested
$12
Value
—
PnL
-$12
Record
73%
95037-35661 (130698)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$5.75
Record
64%
40258-23030 (63288)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$5.76
Value
$6.19
PnL
+$0.43
Record
65%
4106-2235 (6341)
Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
58%
51074-37214 (88288)
Invested
$3
Value
$3.26
PnL
+$0.26
Record
69%
1645-745 (2390)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$14.7
Value
—
PnL
-$14.7
Record
63%
52106-30898 (83004)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20187-19342 (39529)
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