Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 72%
$2.7K
$473.96
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $518.01 | $518.53 | +$0.52 | 59% 62390-43552 (105942) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 72.2¢ | $403.85 | $385.76 | -$18.09 | 57% 10422-7818 (18240) |
AL almach | Upavg 61¢ | $305 | $500 | +$195 | 55% 48555-40104 (88659) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 61¢ | $305 | $500 | +$195 | 55% 50600-41206 (91806) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $242.55 | $245 | +$2.45 | 93% 23822-1789 (25611) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $123.41 | $201.52 | +$78.11 | 54% 15378-13260 (28638) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 66.7¢ | $104.75 | $118.41 | +$13.66 | 54% 11016-9389 (20405) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 67.5¢ | $60.75 | $90 | +$29.25 | 51% 20177-19342 (39519) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 67.1¢ | $42.4 | $41.65 | -$0.75 | 66% 126157-64992 (191149) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Upavg 58.5¢ | $23.4 | $39.99 | +$16.6 | 43% 616-803 (1419) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $9.65 | — | -$9.65 | 56% 58238-44953 (103191) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $7.5 | — | -$7.5 | 62% 43922-26940 (70862) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $17.2 | — | -$17.2 | 65% 125540-67211 (192751) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.4¢ | $24.07 | $15.58 | -$0.23 | 64% 23717-13072 (36789) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $12.21 | $15.39 | +$3.18 | 61% 95227-60115 (155342) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $9.9 | $20 | +$10.1 | 58% 51066-37207 (88273) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.3¢ | $8.33 | — | -$8.33 | 52% 90624-85193 (175817) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.7¢ | $8.15 | — | -$8.15 | 63% 52091-30868 (82959) |
Invested
$518.01
Value
$518.53
PnL
+$0.52
Record
59%
62390-43552 (105942)
Invested
$403.85
Value
$385.76
PnL
-$18.09
Record
57%
10422-7818 (18240)
Invested
$305
Value
$500
PnL
+$195
Record
55%
48555-40104 (88659)
Invested
$305
Value
$500
PnL
+$195
Record
55%
50600-41206 (91806)
Invested
$242.55
Value
$245
PnL
+$2.45
Record
93%
23822-1789 (25611)
Invested
$123.41
Value
$201.52
PnL
+$78.11
Record
54%
15378-13260 (28638)
Invested
$104.75
Value
$118.41
PnL
+$13.66
Record
54%
11016-9389 (20405)
Invested
$60.75
Value
$90
PnL
+$29.25
Record
51%
20177-19342 (39519)
Invested
$42.4
Value
$41.65
PnL
-$0.75
Record
66%
126157-64992 (191149)
Invested
$23.4
Value
$39.99
PnL
+$16.6
Record
43%
616-803 (1419)
Invested
$9.65
Value
—
PnL
-$9.65
Record
56%
58238-44953 (103191)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$7.5
Record
62%
43922-26940 (70862)
Invested
$17.2
Value
—
PnL
-$17.2
Record
65%
125540-67211 (192751)
Invested
$24.07
Value
$15.58
PnL
-$0.23
Record
64%
23717-13072 (36789)
Invested
$12.21
Value
$15.39
PnL
+$3.18
Record
61%
95227-60115 (155342)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.1
Record
58%
51066-37207 (88273)
Invested
$8.33
Value
—
PnL
-$8.33
Record
52%
90624-85193 (175817)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.15
Value
—
PnL
-$8.15
Record
63%
52091-30868 (82959)
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