Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Up 79%
$2.2K
$185.81
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO mo-money | Upavg 79.4Β’ | $656 | $825 | +$169 | 55% 50598-41206 (91804) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8Β’ | $647.49 | $655.33 | +$7.85 | 93% 23785-1788 (25573) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 76.6Β’ | $323.5 | $335.47 | +$11.97 | 57% 10421-7818 (18239) |
DE devonpoll | Upavg 86.1Β’ | $117.9 | $136.98 | +$19.08 | 51% 20169-19334 (39503) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 83.1Β’ | $105.97 | $105.24 | -$0.73 | 54% 11005-9382 (20387) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93.5Β’ | $53.37 | $46.66 | +$3.44 | 64% 23652-13033 (36685) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 78.6Β’ | $27.06 | $31.58 | +$4.52 | 61% 95179-60087 (155266) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 64.8Β’ | $27.15 | $27.58 | +$0.43 | 66% 126107-64964 (191071) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 84.7Β’ | $19.89 | $23.49 | +$3.6 | 52% 90584-85156 (175740) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $25.18 | β | -$20.45 | 65% 125360-67129 (192489) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 58% 51051-37200 (88251) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $6.75 | $5 | -$1.75 | 55% 18006-14600 (32606) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.3Β’ | $12.15 | β | -$12.15 | 63% 52078-30813 (82891) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 20Β’ | $4 | β | -$4 | 47% 449-516 (965) |
Invested
$656
Value
$825
PnL
+$169
Record
55%
50598-41206 (91804)
Invested
$647.49
Value
$655.33
PnL
+$7.85
Record
93%
23785-1788 (25573)
Invested
$323.5
Value
$335.47
PnL
+$11.97
Record
57%
10421-7818 (18239)
Invested
$117.9
Value
$136.98
PnL
+$19.08
Record
51%
20169-19334 (39503)
Invested
$105.97
Value
$105.24
PnL
-$0.73
Record
54%
11005-9382 (20387)
Invested
$53.37
Value
$46.66
PnL
+$3.44
Record
64%
23652-13033 (36685)
Invested
$27.06
Value
$31.58
PnL
+$4.52
Record
61%
95179-60087 (155266)
Invested
$27.15
Value
$27.58
PnL
+$0.43
Record
66%
126107-64964 (191071)
Invested
$19.89
Value
$23.49
PnL
+$3.6
Record
52%
90584-85156 (175740)
Invested
$25.18
Value
β
PnL
-$20.45
Record
65%
125360-67129 (192489)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
58%
51051-37200 (88251)
Invested
$6.75
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.75
Record
55%
18006-14600 (32606)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$12.15
Value
β
PnL
-$12.15
Record
63%
52078-30813 (82891)
Invested
$4
Value
β
PnL
-$4
Record
47%
449-516 (965)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
mo-money
Up β $825
hoodquant
Up β $655.33
trdyugiolkw
Up β $335.47
devonpoll
Up β $136.98
thesidehustle
Up β $105.24
aaa221
Up β $46.66
asidjasiodja
Up β $31.58
asdaefef
Up β $27.58
dvasdkasodk
Up β $23.49
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown β $0