Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Up 73%
$3.9K
$105.92
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.7Β’ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$17.67 | 93% 23742-1787 (25529) |
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 99Β’ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$13.41 | 74% 102637-36444 (139081) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $415.02 | $415.44 | +$0.42 | 59% 62348-43522 (105870) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 80Β’ | $240 | $300 | +$60 | 56% 58202-44924 (103126) |
GO GoodRecipient | Upavg 68.4Β’ | $103.18 | $100.62 | -$2.56 | 43% 614-801 (1415) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 65.9Β’ | $60.91 | $92.39 | +$31.48 | 51% 20151-19318 (39469) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 38Β’ | $46.01 | $121.09 | +$75.08 | 54% 14488-12323 (26811) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64.6Β’ | $56.3 | $59.99 | +$11.07 | 64% 23568-12988 (36556) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 78.2Β’ | $37.16 | $37.05 | -$0.11 | 61% 95136-60056 (155192) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 71.5Β’ | $39.06 | $40.2 | +$1.14 | 66% 126053-64938 (190991) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 90.5Β’ | $33.87 | $33.44 | -$0.43 | 52% 90543-85100 (175643) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.5Β’ | $31.25 | β | -$31.25 | 63% 52052-30740 (82792) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $26 | β | -$26 | 58% 38010-27238 (65248) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 61.4Β’ | $43.95 | β | -$43.95 | 55% 17964-14556 (32520) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 112288-58786 (171074) |
Invested
$1,337.33
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$17.67
Record
93%
23742-1787 (25529)
BoneOhioInvested
$1,327.67
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$13.41
Record
74%
102637-36444 (139081)
Invested
$415.02
Value
$415.44
PnL
+$0.42
Record
59%
62348-43522 (105870)
Invested
$240
Value
$300
PnL
+$60
Record
56%
58202-44924 (103126)
Invested
$103.18
Value
$100.62
PnL
-$2.56
Record
43%
614-801 (1415)
Invested
$60.91
Value
$92.39
PnL
+$31.48
Record
51%
20151-19318 (39469)
Invested
$46.01
Value
$121.09
PnL
+$75.08
Record
54%
14488-12323 (26811)
Invested
$56.3
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$11.07
Record
64%
23568-12988 (36556)
Invested
$37.16
Value
$37.05
PnL
-$0.11
Record
61%
95136-60056 (155192)
Invested
$39.06
Value
$40.2
PnL
+$1.14
Record
66%
126053-64938 (190991)
Invested
$33.87
Value
$33.44
PnL
-$0.43
Record
52%
90543-85100 (175643)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$31.25
Value
β
PnL
-$31.25
Record
63%
52052-30740 (82792)
Invested
$26
Value
β
PnL
-$26
Record
58%
38010-27238 (65248)
Invested
$43.95
Value
β
PnL
-$43.95
Record
55%
17964-14556 (32520)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112288-58786 (171074)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $1.4K

BoneOhio
Up β $1.3K
0x50f7
Up β $415.44
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $300
GoodRecipient
Up β $100.62
devonpoll
Up β $92.39
tmsd-test
Up β $121.09
aaa221
Up β $59.99
asidjasiodja
Up β $37.05
asdaefef
Up β $40.2