Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 70%
$802.1
$533.35
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 79.9Β’ | $477.49 | $448.58 | -$28.91 | 57% 10409-7811 (18220) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 62.7Β’ | $124.04 | $137.63 | +$13.59 | 57% 6742-4985 (11727) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 70.6Β’ | $119.46 | $119.66 | +$0.21 | 54% 10968-9354 (20322) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90.6Β’ | $46.05 | $34.84 | -$11.21 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 61.7Β’ | $16.28 | $26.38 | +$10.1 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 82Β’ | $20.5 | $25 | +$4.5 | 64% 40197-22999 (63196) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.4Β’ | $24.45 | β | -$24.45 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $8.5 | $10 | +$1.5 | 55% 17960-14549 (32509) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.8Β’ | $9.39 | β | -$9.39 | 51% 20141-19302 (39443) |
IM Imgonnadoit | Downavg 38.8Β’ | $600 | $0 | +$579.41 | 39% 191-302 (493) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 7978-6132 (14110) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 93% 23707-1785 (25492) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 69.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 71.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
TH TheImpasseCTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $25 | β | -$2 | 22% 144-525 (669) |
Invested
$477.49
Value
$448.58
PnL
-$28.91
Record
57%
10409-7811 (18220)
Invested
$124.04
Value
$137.63
PnL
+$13.59
Record
57%
6742-4985 (11727)
Invested
$119.46
Value
$119.66
PnL
+$0.21
Record
54%
10968-9354 (20322)
Invested
$46.05
Value
$34.84
PnL
-$11.21
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
Invested
$16.28
Value
$26.38
PnL
+$10.1
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.5
Record
64%
40197-22999 (63196)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$24.45
Value
β
PnL
-$24.45
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.5
Record
55%
17960-14549 (32509)
Invested
$9.39
Value
β
PnL
-$9.39
Record
51%
20141-19302 (39443)
Invested
$600
Value
$0
PnL
+$579.41
Record
39%
191-302 (493)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
7978-6132 (14110)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
93%
23707-1785 (25492)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
Invested
$25
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
22%
144-525 (669)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down β $448.58
peepeepoopoo24
Down β $137.63
thesidehustle
Down β $119.66
aaa221
Down β $34.84
dvasdkasodk
Down β $26.38

ohioism
Down β $25

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $10
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
Imgonnadoit
Down β $0