Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 67%
$2.3K
-$3.15
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.1Β’ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$29.15 | 93% 23629-1777 (25406) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 83.8Β’ | $462.21 | $505.03 | +$42.82 | 57% 10393-7793 (18186) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 72.4Β’ | $129.93 | $136 | +$6.07 | 57% 6732-4979 (11711) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.8Β’ | $38.1 | β | -$38.1 | 51% 20120-19270 (39390) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $46.27 | β | -$46.27 | 58% 37944-27182 (65126) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85.8Β’ | $25.62 | $27 | +$1.38 | 52% 90461-84991 (175452) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81.4Β’ | $16.21 | $19.9 | +$3.69 | 66% 125972-64860 (190832) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 83.1Β’ | $14.24 | $17.14 | +$2.9 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $4.8 | β | -$4.8 | 57% 7947-6108 (14055) |
Invested
$1,521.58
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$29.15
Record
93%
23629-1777 (25406)
Invested
$462.21
Value
$505.03
PnL
+$42.82
Record
57%
10393-7793 (18186)
Invested
$129.93
Value
$136
PnL
+$6.07
Record
57%
6732-4979 (11711)
Invested
$38.1
Value
β
PnL
-$38.1
Record
51%
20120-19270 (39390)
Invested
$46.27
Value
β
PnL
-$46.27
Record
58%
37944-27182 (65126)
Invested
$25.62
Value
$27
PnL
+$1.38
Record
52%
90461-84991 (175452)
Invested
$16.21
Value
$19.9
PnL
+$3.69
Record
66%
125972-64860 (190832)
Invested
$14.24
Value
$17.14
PnL
+$2.9
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
Invested
$4.8
Value
β
PnL
-$4.8
Record
57%
7947-6108 (14055)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $1.6K
trdyugiolkw
Down β $505.03
peepeepoopoo24
Down β $136
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $27
asdaefef
Down β $19.9
asidjasiodja
Down β $17.14
wzbbb
CTRUp β $0