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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Up 64%

Total Value

$2.7K

Combined PnL

-$20.58

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 16 top traders (69%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$2.7K

Total Shares2,664

Combined PnL+$558.68

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares902

Combined PnL-$579.26

Up — 69%Down — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.7¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$18.26	93% 23629-1777 (25406)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 83.3¢	$718.7	$806.3	+$87.6	57% 71032-54136 (125168)
TR trdyugiolkwCTR	Downavg 32.3¢	$482.41	—	-$482.41	57% 10393-7793 (18186)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 56.5¢	$202.13	$197.05	-$5.08	57% 6732-4979 (11711)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 71¢	$58.02	$80.21	+$22.18	55% 50540-41153 (91693)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 57.6¢	$83.27	—	-$83.27	58% 37944-27182 (65126)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 55.2¢	$33.14	$59.99	+$26.85	64% 23436-12922 (36358)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$25.56	$24	-$1.56	61% 95058-59969 (155027)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 66¢	$22.44	$34	+$11.56	64% 40186-22978 (63164)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 76.2¢	$15.23	$20	+$4.77	66% 125972-64860 (190832)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 70¢	$18.2	$26	+$7.8	56% 58164-44891 (103055)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 39.2¢	$8.17	—	-$8.17	52% 90461-84991 (175452)
YO YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100	Downavg 26¢	$2.86	—	-$2.86	53% 3706-3222 (6928)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.55	—	-$2.55	55% 17936-14530 (32466)
IM Imgonnadoit	Upavg 33.8¢	$200	$0	+$386.31	38% 184-298 (482)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 44.6¢	—	—	+$0	51% 20120-19270 (39390)

Invested

$1,397.74

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$18.26

Record

93%

23629-1777 (25406)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$718.7

Value

$806.3

PnL

+$87.6

Record

57%

71032-54136 (125168)

Invested

$482.41

Value

—

PnL

-$482.41

Record

57%

10393-7793 (18186)

Invested

$202.13

Value

$197.05

PnL

-$5.08

Record

57%

6732-4979 (11711)

Invested

$58.02

Value

$80.21

PnL

+$22.18

Record

55%

50540-41153 (91693)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$83.27

Value

—

PnL

-$83.27

Record

58%

37944-27182 (65126)

Invested

$33.14

Value

$59.99

PnL

+$26.85

Record

64%

23436-12922 (36358)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$25.56

Value

$24

PnL

-$1.56

Record

61%

95058-59969 (155027)

Invested

$22.44

Value

$34

PnL

+$11.56

Record

64%

40186-22978 (63164)

Invested

$15.23

Value

$20

PnL

+$4.77

Record

66%

125972-64860 (190832)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$18.2

Value

$26

PnL

+$7.8

Record

56%

58164-44891 (103055)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$8.17

Value

—

PnL

-$8.17

Record

52%

90461-84991 (175452)

YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100

Invested

$2.86

Value

—

PnL

-$2.86

Record

53%

3706-3222 (6928)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

55%

17936-14530 (32466)

Invested

$200

Value

$0

PnL

+$386.31

Record

38%

184-298 (482)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20120-19270 (39390)

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 16 top traders (69%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa99ac0ea...2d9a04

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1793392200

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $1.4K

uninformedfloww

Up — $806.3

trdyugiolkw

Down — $0

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $197.05

mo-money

Up — $80.21

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $59.99

asidjasiodja

Up — $24

ohioism

Up — $34

asdaefef

Up — $20

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