Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 63%
$3.0K
-$385.9
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.2¢ | $822.59 | $837.33 | +$14.74 | 93% 23541-1774 (25315) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 84.2¢ | $787.73 | $774.46 | -$13.27 | 56% 14501-11415 (25916) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 75.8¢ | $447.11 | $435.56 | -$11.55 | 57% 10363-7780 (18143) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 61.8¢ | $257.88 | $343.33 | +$54.55 | 54% 15356-13237 (28593) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 25.1¢ | $363.74 | — | -$363.74 | 57% 70965-54043 (125008) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 70.8¢ | $193.17 | $213.84 | +$20.67 | 54% 10935-9316 (20251) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Upavg 24.3¢ | $160.61 | — | -$160.61 | 57% 7914-6084 (13998) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 74.7¢ | $86.04 | $88.41 | +$2.38 | 57% 6721-4971 (11692) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $83.55 | $123.03 | +$39.48 | 58% 37890-27130 (65020) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $40.55 | $82.75 | +$42.2 | 46% 7970-9410 (17380) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.8¢ | $30.62 | $30.08 | -$0.55 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.1¢ | $27.19 | $34.65 | +$7.46 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $22.5 | $45 | +$22.5 | 58% 60586-44234 (104820) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.2¢ | $25.54 | — | -$25.54 | 51% 20092-19247 (39339) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $9.7 | $10 | +$0.3 | 55% 17859-14473 (32332) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.6¢ | $7.77 | — | -$7.77 | 61% 94986-59906 (154892) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 65% 4064-2202 (6266) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.8¢ | $2.44 | — | -$2.44 | 52% 90403-84904 (175307) |
AS asabovesobelow2CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 69% 1634-737 (2371) |
Invested
$822.59
Value
$837.33
PnL
+$14.74
Record
93%
23541-1774 (25315)
Invested
$787.73
Value
$774.46
PnL
-$13.27
Record
56%
14501-11415 (25916)
Invested
$447.11
Value
$435.56
PnL
-$11.55
Record
57%
10363-7780 (18143)
Invested
$257.88
Value
$343.33
PnL
+$54.55
Record
54%
15356-13237 (28593)
Invested
$363.74
Value
—
PnL
-$363.74
Record
57%
70965-54043 (125008)
Invested
$193.17
Value
$213.84
PnL
+$20.67
Record
54%
10935-9316 (20251)
Invested
$160.61
Value
—
PnL
-$160.61
Record
57%
7914-6084 (13998)
Invested
$86.04
Value
$88.41
PnL
+$2.38
Record
57%
6721-4971 (11692)
Invested
$83.55
Value
$123.03
PnL
+$39.48
Record
58%
37890-27130 (65020)
Invested
$40.55
Value
$82.75
PnL
+$42.2
Record
46%
7970-9410 (17380)
Invested
$30.62
Value
$30.08
PnL
-$0.55
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
Invested
$27.19
Value
$34.65
PnL
+$7.46
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
Invested
$22.5
Value
$45
PnL
+$22.5
Record
58%
60586-44234 (104820)
Invested
$25.54
Value
—
PnL
-$25.54
Record
51%
20092-19247 (39339)
Invested
$9.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.3
Record
55%
17859-14473 (32332)
Invested
$7.77
Value
—
PnL
-$7.77
Record
61%
94986-59906 (154892)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
65%
4064-2202 (6266)
Invested
$2.44
Value
—
PnL
-$2.44
Record
52%
90403-84904 (175307)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
69%
1634-737 (2371)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $837.33
CrouchPredictions
Down — $774.46
trdyugiolkw
Down — $435.56
aswfadq1555
Down — $343.33
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
Down — $213.84
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $88.41
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $123.03
38791873984189
Down — $82.75