Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 82%
$6.4K
$115.82
Smart Money Signal
19 of 23 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$17.43 | 93% 23498-1772 (25270) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 96.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | -$28.68 | 57% 7900-6063 (13963) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 87.1¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$47.49 | 56% 14487-11403 (25890) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $679.52 | $792.7 | +$113.18 | 54% 15350-13232 (28582) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 84.5¢ | $604.82 | $598.18 | -$6.63 | 57% 10352-7769 (18121) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $400.73 | $401.13 | +$0.4 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $107.48 | $117.62 | +$10.13 | 57% 6711-4969 (11680) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $98 | — | -$98 | 46% 7951-9381 (17332) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $79.84 | $103.25 | +$23.41 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $39 | $72.41 | +$33.41 | 57% 12662-9360 (22022) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $38.1 | $34.32 | -$3.78 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.1¢ | $36.91 | $35.06 | -$1.85 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 86.6¢ | $27.71 | $32 | +$4.29 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $16.21 | $21.75 | +$5.54 | 50% 7846-7866 (15712) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $15.47 | $20.09 | +$4.62 | 47% 440-497 (937) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $14.22 | $10.06 | -$4.16 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $11.96 | $23 | +$11.04 | 58% 60561-44221 (104782) |
 NIULAI4<$100 | Downavg 92.1¢ | $11.97 | $13 | +$1.03 | 77% 9410-2830 (12240) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.2¢ | $11.25 | — | -$11.25 | 51% 20087-19234 (39321) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $2.75 | $5 | +$2.25 | 34% 18818-35816 (54634) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.8¢ | $1.82 | — | -$1.82 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112191-58626 (170817) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 91¢ | $324.18 | $0 | -$2.19 | 54% 10921-9310 (20231) |
Invested
$1,473.57
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$17.43
Record
93%
23498-1772 (25270)
Invested
$1,440.67
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$28.68
Record
57%
7900-6063 (13963)
Invested
$1,151
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$47.49
Record
56%
14487-11403 (25890)
Invested
$679.52
Value
$792.7
PnL
+$113.18
Record
54%
15350-13232 (28582)
Invested
$604.82
Value
$598.18
PnL
-$6.63
Record
57%
10352-7769 (18121)
Invested
$400.73
Value
$401.13
PnL
+$0.4
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
Invested
$107.48
Value
$117.62
PnL
+$10.13
Record
57%
6711-4969 (11680)
Invested
$98
Value
—
PnL
-$98
Record
46%
7951-9381 (17332)
Invested
$79.84
Value
$103.25
PnL
+$23.41
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$39
Value
$72.41
PnL
+$33.41
Record
57%
12662-9360 (22022)
Invested
$38.1
Value
$34.32
PnL
-$3.78
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$36.91
Value
$35.06
PnL
-$1.85
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$27.71
Value
$32
PnL
+$4.29
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
Invested
$16.21
Value
$21.75
PnL
+$5.54
Record
50%
7846-7866 (15712)
Invested
$15.47
Value
$20.09
PnL
+$4.62
Record
47%
440-497 (937)
Invested
$14.22
Value
$10.06
PnL
-$4.16
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
Invested
$11.96
Value
$23
PnL
+$11.04
Record
58%
60561-44221 (104782)
NIULAI4<$100Invested
$11.97
Value
$13
PnL
+$1.03
Record
77%
9410-2830 (12240)
Invested
$11.25
Value
—
PnL
-$11.25
Record
51%
20087-19234 (39321)
Invested
$2.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.25
Record
34%
18818-35816 (54634)
Invested
$1.82
Value
—
PnL
-$1.82
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112191-58626 (170817)
Invested
$324.18
Value
$0
PnL
-$2.19
Record
54%
10921-9310 (20231)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.5K
wzbbb
Down — $1.4K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.2K
aswfadq1555
Down — $792.7
trdyugiolkw
Down — $598.18
0x50f7
Down — $401.13
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $117.62
38791873984189
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $103.25
wowitsamazing
Down — $72.41