Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
$12.4K
-$692.78
Smart Money Signal
18 of 22 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $6.9K | $6.2K | -$651.24 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 62.1¢ | $1.9K | $1.7K | -$179.2 | 54% 15343-13227 (28570) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 53.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.4K | +$313.74 | 56% 14444-11357 (25801) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 67.5¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$11.06 | 57% 10339-7761 (18100) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $963.59 | $977.02 | +$13.43 | 93% 23467-1770 (25237) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 86.4¢ | $344.16 | $345 | +$0.84 | 55% 44917-37366 (82283) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Downavg 51.6¢ | $451.57 | — | -$451.57 | 57% 7881-6054 (13935) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 7.6¢ | $134.51 | $60 | -$74.51 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 7.6¢ | $117.11 | — | -$117.11 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29¢ | $17.4 | $60 | +$42.6 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 70.8¢ | $142.85 | $137.04 | -$5.81 | 57% 6707-4966 (11673) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $88.55 | — | -$88.55 | 74% 102458-36400 (138858) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $64.28 | $64.93 | +$0.65 | 58% 37847-27088 (64935) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 84.1¢ | $58.43 | $59.08 | +$0.65 | 61% 94915-59834 (154749) |
 NIULAI4<$100 | Upavg 97.4¢ | $61.39 | $63 | +$1.61 | 77% 9405-2826 (12231) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $50.32 | $49.22 | -$1.11 | 52% 90329-84819 (175148) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 77.6¢ | $53.79 | $44.26 | -$9.52 | 66% 125811-64748 (190559) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $23.85 | — | -$23.85 | 46% 7940-9367 (17307) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $13.5 | $25.53 | +$12.03 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 96.2¢ | $16.25 | $16.9 | +$0.65 | 69% 1633-735 (2368) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Upavg 48.5¢ | $15.6 | $20 | +$4.4 | 43% 611-794 (1405) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 69.4¢ | $30.68 | — | -$17.09 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $4.9 | $5.16 | +$0.26 | 65% 4059-2199 (6258) |
IM Imgonnadoit | Upavg 32.1¢ | $420 | $0.01 | +$375.83 | 37% 169-284 (453) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 56.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20077-19224 (39301) |
Invested
$6,871.37
Value
$6.2K
PnL
-$651.24
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
Invested
$1,892.68
Value
$1.7K
PnL
-$179.2
Record
54%
15343-13227 (28570)
Invested
$1,078.99
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$313.74
Record
56%
14444-11357 (25801)
Invested
$1,147.28
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$11.06
Record
57%
10339-7761 (18100)
Invested
$963.59
Value
$977.02
PnL
+$13.43
Record
93%
23467-1770 (25237)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$344.16
Value
$345
PnL
+$0.84
Record
55%
44917-37366 (82283)
Invested
$451.57
Value
—
PnL
-$451.57
Record
57%
7881-6054 (13935)
Invested
$134.51
Value
$60
PnL
-$74.51
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
Both legs:
Invested
$142.85
Value
$137.04
PnL
-$5.81
Record
57%
6707-4966 (11673)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$88.55
Value
—
PnL
-$88.55
Record
74%
102458-36400 (138858)
Invested
$64.28
Value
$64.93
PnL
+$0.65
Record
58%
37847-27088 (64935)
Invested
$58.43
Value
$59.08
PnL
+$0.65
Record
61%
94915-59834 (154749)
NIULAI4<$100Invested
$61.39
Value
$63
PnL
+$1.61
Record
77%
9405-2826 (12231)
Invested
$50.32
Value
$49.22
PnL
-$1.11
Record
52%
90329-84819 (175148)
Invested
$53.79
Value
$44.26
PnL
-$9.52
Record
66%
125811-64748 (190559)
Invested
$23.85
Value
—
PnL
-$23.85
Record
46%
7940-9367 (17307)
Invested
$13.5
Value
$25.53
PnL
+$12.03
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
Invested
$16.25
Value
$16.9
PnL
+$0.65
Record
69%
1633-735 (2368)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.4
Record
43%
611-794 (1405)
Invested
$30.68
Value
—
PnL
-$17.09
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5.16
PnL
+$0.26
Record
65%
4059-2199 (6258)
Invested
$420
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$375.83
Record
37%
169-284 (453)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20077-19224 (39301)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $6.2K
aswfadq1555
Up — $1.7K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.4K
trdyugiolkw
Up — $1.2K
hoodquant
Up — $977.02
MayorMamdani
Up — $345
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $137.04
BoneOhio
CTRDown — $0