Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 55%
$2.1K
-$461.2
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6¢ | $849.18 | $861 | +$11.81 | 93% 23399-1767 (25166) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $330.38 | $448.22 | +$117.84 | 54% 15329-13213 (28542) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 83.4¢ | $482.72 | $436.05 | -$46.67 | 57% 10314-7744 (18058) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Upavg 36.9¢ | $369.34 | — | -$369.34 | 57% 7855-6024 (13879) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Upavg 52.4¢ | $100.68 | — | -$100.68 | 34% 18780-35785 (54565) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 76.1¢ | $71.44 | $68.95 | -$2.49 | 57% 6693-4958 (11651) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97.5¢ | $60.36 | $55 | -$5.36 | 61% 94821-59772 (154593) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $51.49 | $69.09 | +$17.59 | 55% 44849-37309 (82158) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 72.1¢ | $44 | $61 | +$17 | 50% 7836-7860 (15696) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $47.92 | — | -$47.92 | 58% 60512-44183 (104695) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $38.5 | $50.66 | +$12.16 | 65% 125137-66970 (192107) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.8¢ | $32.28 | $34.18 | +$1.9 | 66% 125490-64588 (190078) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.7¢ | $38.65 | — | -$38.65 | 64% 40076-22914 (62990) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.9¢ | $25.47 | — | -$25.47 | 51% 20058-19208 (39266) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $13.82 | $28.2 | +$14.38 | 58% 50983-37128 (88111) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $10.09 | $13.69 | +$3.6 | 66% 112118-58522 (170640) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.6¢ | $15.59 | — | -$15.59 | 56% 58027-44801 (102828) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 68% 99316-47652 (146968) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.5¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 52% 90236-84735 (174971) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 55% 17762-14385 (32147) |
Invested
$849.18
Value
$861
PnL
+$11.81
Record
93%
23399-1767 (25166)
Invested
$330.38
Value
$448.22
PnL
+$117.84
Record
54%
15329-13213 (28542)
Invested
$482.72
Value
$436.05
PnL
-$46.67
Record
57%
10314-7744 (18058)
Invested
$369.34
Value
—
PnL
-$369.34
Record
57%
7855-6024 (13879)
Invested
$100.68
Value
—
PnL
-$100.68
Record
34%
18780-35785 (54565)
Invested
$71.44
Value
$68.95
PnL
-$2.49
Record
57%
6693-4958 (11651)
Invested
$60.36
Value
$55
PnL
-$5.36
Record
61%
94821-59772 (154593)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$51.49
Value
$69.09
PnL
+$17.59
Record
55%
44849-37309 (82158)
Invested
$44
Value
$61
PnL
+$17
Record
50%
7836-7860 (15696)
Invested
$47.92
Value
—
PnL
-$47.92
Record
58%
60512-44183 (104695)
Invested
$38.5
Value
$50.66
PnL
+$12.16
Record
65%
125137-66970 (192107)
Invested
$32.28
Value
$34.18
PnL
+$1.9
Record
66%
125490-64588 (190078)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$38.65
Value
—
PnL
-$38.65
Record
64%
40076-22914 (62990)
Invested
$25.47
Value
—
PnL
-$25.47
Record
51%
20058-19208 (39266)
Invested
$13.82
Value
$28.2
PnL
+$14.38
Record
58%
50983-37128 (88111)
Invested
$10.09
Value
$13.69
PnL
+$3.6
Record
66%
112118-58522 (170640)
Invested
$15.59
Value
—
PnL
-$15.59
Record
56%
58027-44801 (102828)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
68%
99316-47652 (146968)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
52%
90236-84735 (174971)
Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
55%
17762-14385 (32147)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $861
aswfadq1555
Down — $448.22
trdyugiolkw
Down — $436.05
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $68.95
asidjasiodja
Down — $55
MayorMamdani
Down — $69.09
RLWG
Down — $61
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0