Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 69%
$1.6K
-$71.87
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 60.5¢ | $491.14 | $554.73 | +$63.59 | 57% 7817-5997 (13814) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $463.32 | $468 | +$4.68 | 93% 23323-1765 (25088) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 75¢ | $255.93 | $265.14 | +$9.21 | 57% 10302-7735 (18037) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 61.3¢ | $110.53 | $120 | +$9.47 | 54% 15313-13203 (28516) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.6¢ | $54.66 | — | -$54.66 | 34% 18763-35765 (54528) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 69.9¢ | $60.14 | $44.42 | -$15.72 | 54% 10837-9261 (20098) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.3¢ | $46.3 | — | -$46.3 | 51% 20036-19191 (39227) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $46.5 | $44.09 | -$2.41 | 61% 94766-59706 (154472) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 68.5¢ | $47.2 | $40 | -$7.2 | 57% 6681-4952 (11633) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $28.05 | — | -$28.05 | 65% 125073-66927 (192000) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $10.32 | $15.17 | +$4.85 | 64% 22980-12672 (35652) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $9.3 | $8.49 | -$0.81 | 52% 90179-84671 (174850) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $8.53 | — | -$8.53 | 55% 44800-37263 (82063) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 69.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 58239-32920 (91159) |
Invested
$491.14
Value
$554.73
PnL
+$63.59
Record
57%
7817-5997 (13814)
Invested
$463.32
Value
$468
PnL
+$4.68
Record
93%
23323-1765 (25088)
Invested
$255.93
Value
$265.14
PnL
+$9.21
Record
57%
10302-7735 (18037)
Invested
$110.53
Value
$120
PnL
+$9.47
Record
54%
15313-13203 (28516)
Invested
$54.66
Value
—
PnL
-$54.66
Record
34%
18763-35765 (54528)
Invested
$60.14
Value
$44.42
PnL
-$15.72
Record
54%
10837-9261 (20098)
Invested
$46.3
Value
—
PnL
-$46.3
Record
51%
20036-19191 (39227)
Invested
$46.5
Value
$44.09
PnL
-$2.41
Record
61%
94766-59706 (154472)
Invested
$47.2
Value
$40
PnL
-$7.2
Record
57%
6681-4952 (11633)
Invested
$28.05
Value
—
PnL
-$28.05
Record
65%
125073-66927 (192000)
Invested
$10.32
Value
$15.17
PnL
+$4.85
Record
64%
22980-12672 (35652)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$8.49
PnL
-$0.81
Record
52%
90179-84671 (174850)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.53
Value
—
PnL
-$8.53
Record
55%
44800-37263 (82063)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
58239-32920 (91159)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
wzbbb
Down — $554.73
hoodquant
Down — $468
trdyugiolkw
Down — $265.14
aswfadq1555
Down — $120
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
thesidehustle
Down — $44.42
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $44.09
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $40
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0